ESPN predicts every game outcome on Georgia's 2024 schedule

Georgia enters the college football season for a second straight year as the No. 1 ranked team in the country. Once again having high expectations under head coach Kirby Smart following back-to-back national championship wins in 2021 and 2022 along with just two losses in the last three seasons.

But despite the Bulldogs having great expectations, they also have a challenging schedule this upcoming season. Facing several challenging conference foes in a new-look SEC that features a new scheduling format and no divisions.

ESPN’s FPI predicted Georgia’s chances of winning each of their regular season matchups when looking ahead at their 2024 season. Check out the Bulldogs’ chances to potentially run the table and return to the SEC title game below.

Aug. 31: Georgia vs Clemson (in Atlanta) — 82.3% chance of win

Georgia opens the season against Clemson at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta in one of the most exciting Week 1 matchups of the season. A matchup featuring two Top 25-ranked teams and two of the three programs that have won multiple national championships in the last 10 seasons.

The Bulldogs and Tigers squared off to open the 2021 season in a low-scoring dog fight in Charlotte, a game Georgia won 10-3. But it’s clear that both teams are in different places heading into this year’s edition of the matchup.

Sept. 7: Georgia vs Tennessee Tech — 99.0% chance of win

Georgia’s home opener is against Tennessee Tech in Athens. As the FCS Golden Eagles enter the matchup following a 4-7 finish last season out of the Big South-OVC.

Respectfully, Tennessee Tech does not stand much of a chance in this matchup versus one of college football’s most dominant programs at the highest level. Representing one of two non-conference games for Georgia where the Bulldogs nearly have an 100% chance of winning.

Sept. 14: Georgia at Kentucky — 88.0% chance of win

The Bulldogs open up their SEC schedule with a matchup on the road against Kentucky. A game that they’ve dominated for 14 straight years with their last loss to the Wildcats coming in 2009.

There will be a notable familiar face staring across the defense in Georgia’s Week 3 matchup this year. With former Bulldogs quarterback Brock Vandagriff transferring to Kentucky following three years as a backup for Georgia.

Sept. 28: Georgia at Alabama — 59.1% chance of win

One of Georgia’s most challenging games of the season according to ESPN’s FPI comes in Week 4. Taking on Alabama in one of the most highly anticipated games in the country for the entire college football season.

The Crimson Tide are the only team to defeat Georgia in the last three years and are tough to beat in Bryant-Denny Stadium. But with a new head coach at the helm following Nick Saban‘s retirement, anything can happen in this year’s version of the elite matchup.

Oct. 5: Georgia vs Auburn — 88.4% chance of win

The Auburn Tigers were the only team on Georgia’s SEC regular season schedule last year to play in a one-score game with the Bulldogs. With Georgia scoring in the last three minutes of the game to leave The Plains with a 27-20 win.

Thankfully for Georgia, the Tigers have to visit Sanford Stadium for this year’s matchup, given a high chance to defend their home turf. But many expect Auburn to show improvement this season in year two under Hugh Freeze.

Oct. 12: Georgia vs Mississippi State — 93.9% chance of win

Georgia’s game versus Mississippi State is the only conference game where ESPN’s FPI gave the Bulldogs over a 90% chance to win. Hosting a program that’s looking to rebuild from the ground up under new head coach Jeff Lebby.

Georgia boasts a 20-6 record over Mississippi State, last falling to the other Bulldogs of the SEC in 2010. But the one and only time Georgia has lost at home to Mississippi State was the very first time they played in 1914.

Oct. 19: Georgia at Texas — 52.4% chance of win

It doesn’t get much bigger than Georgia taking a trip down to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns in their first season in the SEC. Two programs regarded by many as powerhouses that enter the season ranked as top five teams in the country.

Georgia’s road trip to the Lone Star State represents their highest likelihood of losing a game in the regular season according to ESPN. Not to mention a game that has all the makings of an instant classic that will draw a large audience in October.

Nov. 2: Georgia vs Florida (in Jacksonville) — 85.3% chance of win

Florida and Georgia will square off in EverBank Stadium for one of the SEC’s greatest rivalries once again. Meeting for the 103rd time in a series that Georgia currently leads 56–44–2 (55–44–2 if you ask Florida).

The Bulldogs have won the last three matchups in the rivalry. But this year’s version will be particularly personal for Georgia running back Trevor Etienne, who transferred in this offseason following two years with the Gators.

Nov. 9: Georgia at Ole Miss — 78.8% chance of win

Georgia’s visit to Ole Miss in November represents their third and final road trip against a conference opponent that enters the season ranked in the preseason Top 10. Squaring off against a Rebels team with a reloaded roster featuring returning starts and a slew of new difference makers from the transfer portal.

The Bulldogs are 11-1 in their last 12 matchups with Ole Miss, with their most recent 52-17 win over the Rebels representing one of their most dominant all-time. But despite the Rebels having a stacked roster, ESPN still favors Georgia on the road pretty heavily.

Nov. 16: Georgia vs Tennessee — 79.4% chance of win

Thankfully for Georgia, their last preseason Top 25 ranked opponent of the season comes at home. Hosting the Tennessee Volunteers in a game that represents their final SEC matchup of the regular season.

Like several Georgia opponents, Tennessee as viewed a potential College Football Playoff team this upcoming season. Presenting an exciting quarterback matchup between veteran Carson Beck and redshirt freshman Nico Iamaleava.

Nov. 23: Georgia vs Massachusetts — 99.0% chance of win

UMass is the second non-conference opponent that the Bulldogs face that ESPN is only giving a 1% chance of upsetting the Bulldogs. Presenting a tall task for the Minutemen in their eighth season under Don Brown.

Georgia has a slim to none chance of losing to UMass in November, the the Minutemen are not alone. With the Bulldogs not dropping a regular-season non-conference game since 2016 to the final team on this list.

Nov. 29: Georgia vs Georgia Tech — Chance of win, Not Listed

ESPN’s FPI does not have a win likelihood percentage posted for Georgia’s in-state rival Georgia Tech. Who last defeated the Bulldogs in 2016 in Athens for Kirby Smart‘s first season with the Bulldogs.

It won’t be too hard to predict that the Bulldogs will likely be heavily favored in their regular season finale in Athens. But Georgia Tech does return quarterback Haynes King and several other key contributors from last season.