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Paul Finebaum weighs in on College Football Playoff chances for LSU, potential chaos

On3 imageby:Sam Gillenwater•11/22/22•

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David Rosenblum | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

LSU is one of the few remaining teams who have a shot at the College Football Playoff. The Tigers sit at 9-2 as of now and will represent the SEC West in Atlanta on December 3rd. However, even with one of the better resumes in the country that has been bolstered a ton since mid-October, Paul Finebaum isn’t high on LSU’s odds solely because of their road ahead.

Finebaum joined ‘First Take’ on Tuesday morning to discuss the playoff and, in turn, the Tiger’s chances. He believes LSU will enter the SEC title game at 10-2 after this weekend when they play Texas A&M. The only problem from there is Georgia as he has them losing and taking a defining third loss of the season.

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“Here’s the problem for LSU. They have Texas A&M Saturday night…But then LSU goes to Atlanta and they take on Georgia,” said Finebaum. “I don’t think they get out of there and the problem then is, even though they have a tremendous resume, they are going to have three losses and I don’t think they have any way back in.”

LSU’s only two losses are pretty good ones with an opening defeat to Florida State and a midseason loss to a highly ranked Tennessee team. Since then, they’ve won five straight games that include a pair of wins over both Ole Miss and Alabama. That has created the scenario we’re in now. LSU’s goal now is win and they’re in. A loss to the Bulldogs, though, would decisively seal their fate.

“They have to win,” Finebaum said. “If LSU pulls the upset? Then we have a little bit of chaos which we probably won’t have otherwise. But LSU better win against Georgia. Otherwise, they’re done.”

LSU has come a long way to put itself in this position. Brian Kelly’s team controls its own destiny with two games left in the season. If they finish 11-2 with a conference championship to their name, it’s highly probable that the SEC will have two teams in the playoff. With that said, a loss puts an end to that conversation. That’s why everything for the Tigers comes down to what happens in Mercedes-Benz Stadium next weekend.