Michigan 2025 win total: Greg McElroy reveals his stance on 8.5 wins mark

Ahead of the 2025 college football season, Michigan has the attention of Greg McElroy. He took an in-depth look at the Wolverines on the latest episode of his Always College Football with Greg McElroy show.

After getting to eight wins via their ReliaQuest Bowl victory over Alabama, Vegas oddsmakers have set Michigan’s over-under win total at 8.5. A couple of seasons removed from a national title, Wolverines fans are hoping for sustained success. McElroy took it game by game in his evaluation, believing there’s reason for optimism in Ann Arbor.

“Moving over to Sherrone Moore and Michigan, they finished with a flurry last year. They have a bunch of games that I think they can stack as possible wins. Remember, they won eight games last year, and if not for the finish, it would have looked very, very different for Sherrone Moore going into year No. 2. This schedule, though, I think is a little bit more manageable than it was a year ago,” McElroy stated.

“You have a bunch of automatics. I think they have seven wins that they already have on their roster right now. New Mexico, Central Michigan, Wisconsin at home, Washington at home, Purdue at home. They’re at Northwestern. That game will be played in Wrigley Field, and they’re at Maryland. I think they should handle those seven games.

After giving Michigan seven wins, McElroy evaluated their toss-up games: “Then, they have five toss-ups. I really believe Michigan can win any of these games,” he added. “Will it be tough? Sure. But all they have to do to eclipse that over-under win total is win two of the following five games. Can they win at Oklahoma? Sure. I think it will be tough, but they definitely can. Can they win at Nebraska on Sept. 20? Sure. It will be tough as well. At USC on Oct. 11. At Michigan State, which is a rivalry game, on the road.

“I know that Michigan State, that’s one that they would love to get. Might be tough for them, but if Michigan can go on the road to Michigan State and get that game, it would get them much closer to that over-under win total, and hopefully get into nine regular season wins.”

As for The Game, Michigan is on a four-game win-streak over Ohio State. Many believe the Buckeyes have surpassed the Wolverines with their national title run, but McElroy doesn’t think it’s that simple.

“Shockingly enough, I’m going to put the Ohio State game into the toss-up category,” the ESPN analyst delineated. “Should I give that as a win because of how they fared against the Buckeyes the last couple years? Perhaps, but I can’t. I think Ohio State on paper has a lot of answered questions this upcoming season, but it wouldn’t surprise me at all if we’re sitting there on Nov. 29 at four o’clock in the afternoon and Michigan has won yet another one against the Buckeyes.

“It wouldn’t shock me. It shouldn’t shock anybody at this point with how they match up against the Buckeyes. So, can it be done? Sure, but it will be difficult. They gotta win at least two of those toss-up games and some of those toss-up games are pretty tricky.”

All told, there’s a bunch of different ways 2025 could go for Michigan. Whether they reach the heights they’ve seen in previous seasons remains to be seen, but Greg McElroy is expecting a fruitful season for the Wolverines.