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JD PicKell: Predicting every game on Notre Dame's 2022 schedule

Nikki Chavanelleby:Nikki Chavanelle•08/22/22•

NikkiChavanelle

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Marcus Freeman and the Fighting Irish dive into the first year under his tenure with a battle on the road versus the Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s a test that will set the tone for the season for Notre Dame, which starts the year as the No. 5 team in the nation, per the preseason AP Top 25.

As the season opener gets closer, On3’s J.D. PicKell predicted every game on Notre Dame’s schedule. With everything as it stands now, the analyst has the Irish ending the year at 9-3.

Here are PicKell’s full predictions for the Fighting Irish’s 2022 schedule:

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PicKell’s Picks

Sept. 3 at Ohio State: Loss

Sept. 10 vs. Marshall: Win

Sept. 17 vs. Cal: Win

Sept. 24 at North Carolina: Win

Week 5 Bye

Oct. 8 vs. BYU in Las Vegas: Win

Oct. 15 vs. Stanford: Win

Oct. 22 vs. UNLV: Win

Oct. 29 at Syracuse: Win

Nov. 5 vs. Clemson: Loss

Nov. 12 vs. Navy in Baltimore: Win

Nov. 19 vs. Boston College: Win

Nov. 26 at USC: Loss

ESPN predicts 10-2 finish for Notre Dame

ESPN’s FPI game-by-game win probabilities for Notre Dame’s 2022 schedule paint a similar picture to PicKell’s prediction. It gives the Irish at least a 50% chance to win 10 of their 12 games and greater than an 80% chance of victory in eight of them.

If Notre Dame won every game the FPI favored it in and lost the two where it’s an underdog, it would finish 10-2. That’s higher than the FPI’s overall prediction of 9.1 wins, which is tied for the 12th-highest projected win total among FBS teams.

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FPI gives Notre Dame a 1.2% chance to win out (10th highest), an 18.8%chance to make the College Football Playoff (fifth), a 6.1% likelihood of reaching the national title game (fifth) and 2% chance of winning the national championship (fifth). Alabama (30% chance) is predicted to win the national championship after falling to Georgia last season.

According to the FPI, Notre Dame’s easiest game this season is versus UNLV on Oct. 22. The Irish start the season with their toughest game, which is against the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes.