Notre Dame Football: ESPN releases game-by-game predictions for every Irish game in 2022

ESPN has released game-by-game predictions for every Notre Dame football game in the 2022 season, based on FPI.

This comes with a little more than a month before the college football season starts. For their part, Notre Dame begins play on September 3, 2022, with a trip to the Horseshoe to play Ohio State.

2022 is the first full season under new and first-time head coach Marcus Freeman. Promoted from defensive coordinator to head coach before Notre Dame’s Fiesta Bowl loss, there is a lot of excitement for Freeman. He faces a difficult schedule to open his tenure with Notre Dame, though. After the Week 1 trip to his alma mater, Freeman needs to face off against schools like Clemson and USC.

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ESPN’s football power index, or FPI, is a predictive tool for college football. It ranks teams and can give them a percentage chance of beating opponents on their schedule. Currently, Notre Dame is ranked fifth in the country in terms of FPI.

Predictions for each game on Notre Dame’s schedule

Ohio State (Away): 9/3 at 7:30 p.m. on ABC

ESPN FPI win probability: 16.5%

Marshall (Home): 9/10 at 2:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 90.8%

Cal (Home): 9/17 at 2:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 94.1%

North Carolina (Away): 9/24 (Time and TV Network TBD)

ESPN FPI win probability: 56.7%

BYU (Neutral): 10/8 at 7:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 81.6%

Stanford (Home): 10/15 at 7:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 92.8%

UNLV (Home): 10/22 at 2:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 98.3%

Syracuse (Away): 10/29 (Time and TV Network TBD)

ESPN FPI win probability: 83.4%

Clemson (Home): 11/5 at 7:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 40%

Navy (Neutral): 11/12 at Noon (TV Network TBD)

ESPN FPI win probability: 95.7%

Boston College (Home): 11/19 at 2:30 p.m. on NBC

ESPN FPI win probability: 91.5%

USC (Away): 11/26 (Time and TV Network TBD)

ESPN FPI win probability: 66.4%

In total, ESPN’s FPI has Notre Dame entering 10 out of 12 games as a favorite in 2022. If that holds true, Marcus Freeman will start out with a 10-2 record at Notre Dame. Given that Notre Dame plays as an Independent, meaning they have fewer bowl tie-ins than teams in a conference, it is hard to say what bowl a 10-win Notre Dame team would land in. There’s a good chance they’d get another shot at a New Year’s Six Bowl with that record, though.