Oregon Football: ESPN releases game-by-game predictions for every Ducks game in 2022

The team over at ESPN has been hard at work, crunching the numbers ahead of the 2022 college football season. And according to ESPN’s Power Football Index (FPI), the Oregon Ducks are favored in 11 of their 12 games which would lead to an 11-1 record if all games played out by their individual odds. Here’s how they see the Ducks’ schedule breaking down game-by-game.

(Probilitiltes are as of July 25 and are subject to change throughout the season for various reasons)

Georgia (road) at 2:30 PM CT Sept. 3 on ABC
ESPN FPI win probability: 8.5%

Eastern Washington (home) at 7:30 PM CT Sept. 10 on PAC 12 Network 

ESPN FPI win probability: 96.6%

BYU (home) at 2:30 PM CT, Sept. 17 on FOX 

ESPN FPI win probability: 74.1% 

Washington State (road) TBD, Sept. 24

ESPN FPI win probability: 76.7%

Stanford (home) TBD, Oct. 1

ESPN FPI win probability: 82.0% 

Arizona (road) TBD, Oct. 8  

ESPN FPI win probability: 81.8%

UCLA (home) TBD, Oct. 22  

ESPN FPI win probability: 69.9%

Cal (road) TBD, Oct. 29 

ESPN FPI win probability: 73.5% 

Colorado (road) TBD, Nov. 5 

ESPN FPI win probability: 78.2% 

Washington (home) TBD, Nov. 12  

ESPN FPI win probability: 73.7% 

Utah (home) TBD, Nov. 19  ABC 

ESPN FPI win probability: 52.4% 

Oregon State (road) TBD, Nov. 26

ESPN FPI win probability: 68.1% 

A solid start to a new era at Oregon

The good news for Oregon and fans of the program is going 11-1 in the regular season and undefeated in conference play solidifies them in the PAC 12 championship game. However, that one projected loss to open up the season against the defending national champions Georgia Bulldogs could end the Ducks’ College Football Playoff chances before they get off the ground. That game sports the second greatest probability disparity on Oregon’s schedule, only second to their week two bout against Eastern Washington.

If ESPN’s FPI projections hold true, Oregon may find themselves on the outside looking in at the College Football Playoff but having a chance to represent the PAC 12 in the Rose Bowl pending the outcome of the conference title game. And although that may not be the ending fans would hope for, it would definitely be a bright start to the Dan Lanning era in Eugene, OR.