KenPom projects every team's chances to win ACC Tournament

With the college basketball regular season nearly in the books and conference tournaments getting set to take place – or already taking place – all across the country, there continues to be a better feel of the teams that will make up the NCAA Tournament.

Looking specifically at the ACC, the league is set to have a number of teams in the NCAA Tournament field with Duke, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Miami and Virginia Tech all expected to be among the 68 teams that make up March Madness.

As the ACC’s regular season slate wrapped up on Saturday and with the ACC Tournament bracket now set, college basketball analytical guru Ken Pomeroy of KenPom.com has projected every team’s chances of winning the ACC Tournament this next week.

According to KenPom, he gives top-seeded Duke the best chance to win the conference tournament title at 48.6% and says the Blue Devils have a 65.3% to make the championship game. The next closest favorite to win the ACC Tournament is No. 3 North Carolina, which KenPom says has a 13.6% chance to capture the title and a 36.5% chance to make the championship game.

Alongside Duke and North Carolina, KenPom projects No. 5 Wake Forest to have the third-best chance to win the ACC Tournament championship – saying the Demon Deacons have a 8.4% chance to take home the trophy and giving them a 15.9% chance to make the championship game. The next closest team in KenPom’s projection is No. 2 Notre Dame, which has just a 8.4% chance to capture the title.

Here’s a complete look at KenPom’s projection for the ACC Tournament.

KenPom’s ACC Tournament Projection

No. 1 Duke: The Blue Devils have a 48.6% chance to win the championship, a 65.3% chance to make the championship game and a 85.6% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 3 North Carolina: The Tar Heels have a 13.6% chance to win the championship, a 36.5% chance to make the championship game and a 67.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 5 Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons have a 8.4% chance to win the championship, a 15.9% chance to make the championship game and a 48% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 2 Notre Dame: The Fighting Irish have a 8.4% chance to win the championship, a 25% chance to make the championship game and a 50.2% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 7 Virginia Tech: The Hokies have a 8.1% chance to win the championship, a 20.8% chance to make the championship game and a 37.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 4 Miami: The Hurricanes have a 6.1% chance to win the championship, a 13.2% chance to make the championship game and a 48.1% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 6 Virginia: The Cavaliers have a 3.5% chance to win the championship, a 11.9% chance to make the championship game and a 27.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 9 Syracuse: The Orange have a 1.2% chance to win the championship, a 3.3% chance to make the championship game and a 8.6% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 10 Clemson: The Tigers have a 1.1% chance to win the championship, a 4.3% chance to make the championship game and a 10.5% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 8 Florida State: The Seminoles have a 0.6% chance to win the championship, a 1.9% chance to make the championship game and a 5.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 11 Louisville: The Cardinals have a 0.10% chance to win the championship, a 0.7% chance to make the championship game and a 3.1% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 13 Boston College: The Eagles have a 0.08% chance to win the championship, a 0.3% chance to make the championship game and a 2.8% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 15 N.C. State: The Wolfpack have a 0.05% chance to win the championship, a 0.4% chance to make the championship game and a 1.6% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 14 Georgia Tech: The Yellow Jackets have a 0.04% chance to win the championship, a 0.4% chance to make the championship game and a 2.1% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 12 Pittsburgh Panthers: The Panthers have a 0.02% chance to win the championship, a 0.1% chance to make the championship game and a 1.1% chance to make the semifinals.