2022 NCAA Tournament bracketology: March 6 projection

North Carolina delivered the most noteworthy result Saturday in crashing the Mike Krzyzewski party in Cameron Indoor Stadium, shocking the Blue Devils with an upset both schools will remember as long as this rivalry is played.

But there were several other results that significantly impacted potential seeds and berths in the NCAA tournament, especially toward the bottom of the at-large field. Indiana, BYU, Virginia Tech, Oregon, Florida and VCU suffered damaging losses that put their at-large hopes in various degrees of peril. On the other hand, Notre Dame, Xavier and Wyoming won to booster their chances of earning some of the final at-large slots. Murray State, which would have earned a bid regardless, secured the Ohio Valley’s automatic berth as well Saturday.

Today, Memphis has a terrific opportunity to strengthen its NCAA tournament hopes against Houston. Rutgers has a critical home game against Penn State. Michigan could go a long way to locking up an at-large berth if it can beat Ohio State. And SMU has a virtual must-win against Tulane. And if Loyola-Chicago can’t earn the MVC’s automatic berth today against Drake, it will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday.

Note: Asterisked teams that have clinched automatic bids. Teams projected to be conference champs are in bold type, with the conference listed. Teams are listed in order within each seed group. You can keep up to date on all the March Madness goings-on with our daily NCAA tournament tracker/bubble watch.

No. 1 seeds

Gonzaga (West Coast)
Baylor (Big 12)
Arizona (Pac-12)
Auburn (SEC)

2 seeds

Kansas
Kentucky
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Duke (ACC)

3 seeds

Villanova (Big East)
Tennessee
Purdue
Texas Tech

4 seeds

Illinois
UCLA
Arkansas
Providence

5 seeds

UConn
Texas
Saint Mary’s
Houston (American)

6 seeds

Alabama
LSU
Iowa
Ohio State

7 seeds

USC
Colorado State (MWC)
Boise State
Murray State* (OVC)

8 seeds

Seton Hall
Michigan State
Marquette
San Diego State

9 seeds

TCU
Iowa State
North Carolina
San Francisco

10 seeds

Notre Dame
Creighton
Wake Forest
Davidson (Atlantic 10)

11 seeds

Miami
Xavier
Wyoming
Loyola-Chicago (MVC)

12 seeds

Rutgers/SMU
Memphis/Michigan
North Texas (Conference USA)
Iona (Metro Atlantic)

13 seeds

South Dakota State (Summit)
Chattanooga (Southern)
Vermont (America East)
New Mexico State (WAC)

14 seeds

Toledo (MAC)
Princeton (Ivy)
Towson (Colonial)
Montana State (Big Sky)

15 seeds

Long Beach State (Big West)
Colgate (Patriot)
Appalachian State (Sun Belt)
Jacksonville (Atlantic Sun)

16 seeds

Cleveland State (Horizon)
Norfolk State (MEAC)
Alcorn State (SWAC)/Nicholls State (Southland)
Bryant (Northeast)/Longwood (Big South)

The conference tournaments already have started. Sites for the 2022 NCAA Tournament are listed here.