2022 NCAA Tournament bracketology: Monday projection

With the regular season complete, the potential full NCAA tournament at-large field is now starting to come into better focus.

Michigan and Memphis, in particular, and Rutgers and SMU, to a lesser extent, took important steps forward in hopes of earning at-large berths. Each would be advised to avoid a letdown in their respective league tournaments. But you’d still much rather be in the aforementioned group than in a group of other fringe teams that includes BYU, VCU, Indiana and Florida, all of which probably are on the outside looking in at the moment.

Tonight, the West Coast Conference semifinals in Las Vegas will showcase the league amid an especially strong season. The WCC is in sound position to receive three bids to the NCAAs, with potential top overall seed Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, which is in line for a No. 5 or No. 6 seed, and San Francisco, which played itself off the tournament bubble with a WCC quarterfinal win over BYU.

Note: Asterisked teams have clinched automatic bids. Teams projected to be conference champs are in bold type, with the conference listed. Teams are listed in order within each seed group. You can keep up to date on all the March Madness goings-on with our daily NCAA tournament tracker/bubble watch.

No. 1 seeds

Gonzaga (West Coast)
Baylor (Big 12)
Arizona (Pac-12)
Auburn (SEC)

2 seeds

Kansas
Kentucky
Duke (ACC)
Villanova (Big East)

3 seeds

Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Tennessee
Purdue
Texas Tech

4 seeds

UCLA
Arkansas
Illinois
Providence

5 seeds

UConn
Texas
Saint Mary’s
Houston (American)

6 seeds

Alabama
LSU
Ohio State
Iowa

7 seeds

USC
Colorado State (Mountain West)
Boise State
Murray State* (OVC)

8 seeds

Michigan State
Seton Hall
Marquette
San Diego State

9 seeds

TCU
San Francisco
Iowa State
North Carolina

10 seeds

Notre Dame
Creighton
Wake Forest
Davidson (Atlantic 10)

11 seeds

Miami
Wyoming
Loyola-Chicago* (MVC)
Michigan

12 seeds

Xavier/Memphis
Rutgers/SMU
North Texas (Conference USA)
South Dakota State (Summit)

13 seeds

Iona (Metro Atlantic)
Vermont (America East)
Chattanooga (Southern)
Toledo (MAC)

14 seeds

New Mexico State (WAC)
Princeton (Ivy)
Towson (Colonial)
Montana State (Big Sky)

15 seeds

Colgate (Patriot)
Long Beach State (Big West)
Georgia State (Sun Belt)
Jacksonville (Atlantic Sun)

16 seeds

Cleveland State (Horizon)
Norfolk State (MEAC)
Longwood* (Big South)/Bryant (Northeast)
Alcorn State (SWAC)/Nicholls State (Southland)

About half of the conference tournaments already have started (and three have finished). Sites for the 2022 NCAA Tournament are listed here.