Alabama vs. Georgia odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tide, Bulldogs
The current top seed in the SEC will hit the road on Wednesday, as No. 24 ranked Alabama visits Georgia on the hardwood in a rematch of last football season’s conference championship game.
The Crimson Tide are fresh off of their highest scoring output of the season in conference play, defeating LSU 109-88 last Saturday to continue sitting atop the SEC standings with a 6-1 record versus conference competition. While Georgia will look to bounce back after being on the wrong end of a 102-point performance from Florida after suffering a loss to their rival last weekend.
Both teams have a lot to play for on Wednesday night in the upcoming SEC showdown, here’s everything you’ll need to know ahead of tip-off.
Odds for Alabama vs. Georgia
Ahead of Wednesday’s game, the Crimson Tide are 6.5-point favorites on the road over Georgia according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Alabama also currently has -250 odds to win outright while the Bulldogs currently sit at +202 for the moneyline.
The point total for the game is also currently set at an over-under of 166.5, with Vegas forecasting a high scoring game featuring a lot of offense with only one other Division I game on Wednesday’s slate featuring a higher point total line.
Final score predictions for Alabama vs. Georgia
BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.9
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 77.9 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 80.6
ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) agrees with FanDuel’s odds for Alabama and Georgia’s Wednesday’s night matchup, but predicts a slightly stronger win for the Crimson Tide, forecasting an 8.9-point win margin for Alabama while also giving them a 77.9% chance of securing the road win.
The BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, also giving the SEC showdown a matchup quality score of 80.6, which tabs the Alabama-Georgia game as the fifth best game across college basketball on Wednesday’s schedule.
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KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 85, Georgia 79
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 72 percent
KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball, designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.
Like ESPN’s BPI and FanDuel, KenPom also predicts an Alabama win over Georgia in Stegeman Coliseum, giving the Crimson Tide a 72% chance of winning the ballgame while also anticipating a high scoring affair where Alabama comes out on top with a six-point win after scoring 85 points on the Bulldogs.
How to watch Alabama vs. Georgia
Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Athens (GA)
Georgia will look to continue to defend their home floor this season early in conference play, only suffering one home loss through 20 games this season. But that loss did come the last time they faced a ranked conference opponent, falling to Tennessee five games ago who handed the Crimson Tide their only conference loss of the season.
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Alabama has won their last two matchups since that loss to the Volunteers, with point guard Mark Sears currently on a heater after earning SEC Player of the Week Honors. Scoring over 20 points in in six of his last seven games including a 31-point performance against South Carolina.