Alabama vs. Florida odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tide, Gators

The Florida Gators are getting set to host the Alabama Crimson Tide on Tuesday night. It’s a rematch of a game from just two weeks ago when the Gators traveled to Tuscaloosa and lost to the Crimson Tide by five points.

With the season winding down, Alabama is fighting to try and win the SEC regular season. However, after a loss to Tennessee, there’s no more room for mistakes as the Crimson Tide fell into a tie with South Carolina for second place. Florida, meanwhile, is only a couple of games back and looking to position itself best for postseason play.

So, ahead of this key SEC battle, here is a look at the odds, win probability, final score predictions, and how to watch Alabama take on Florida.

Odds for Alabama vs. Florida

The Florida Gators are coming into the game against the Alabama Crimson Tide as a 1.5-point favorite, per FanDuel. The Gators moneyline is also currently set at -122, while the Crimson Tide are sitting at +102.

The point total for the game is currently set at 175.5 points. In their first meeting, these two teams scored a total of 191 points. It’s also a number that Alabama has hit in five of its last seven games. For their part, the Gators have gone under that point total in every game since playing the Crimson Tide.

Final score predictions for Alabama vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.9
BPI Win probability (for Crimson Tide): 60.5 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 92.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it disagrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game, with BPI projecting a point differential of 2.9 points in the Crimson Tide’s favor. It’s also giving Alabama a 60.5 percent chance to win the game.

BPI is also giving this game a matchup quality score of 92.7, which is the second-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 91, Florida 88
KenPom Win probability (for Crimson Tide): 58 percent

KenPom is another system used for predicting future outcomes in college basketball. It’s designed to show the strength of a team at a given time in the season, without taking outside factors like injuries into account. For this game, KenPom agrees with BPI, projecting Alabama to win by three points. Notably, the point total that KenPom predicts is also over the Vegas point total.

How to watch Alabama vs. Florida

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Gainesville, FL

Alabama and Florida are scheduled to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It’s going to be a home game for the Gators, in Gainesville, Florida at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center.

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For any fans who aren’t going to be able to make it to Gainesville for the game, it can also be seen on ESPN. On top of that, the game is going to be available through streaming with FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.