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Arizona vs. Purdue odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Wildcats, Boilermakers

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra12/16/23

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Arizona | Purdue
Arizona © Taya Gray/The Desert Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK | Purdue © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers and Arizona Wildcats are preparing for a treat of a clash for college basketball fans around the nation on Saturday evening.

Entering Saturday’s showdown, the Wildcats are ranked as the No. 1 team in the country, while Purdue follows them at No. 3. The Wildcats are coming off a 26-point win over the Wisconsin Badgers and are 8-0 on the season, while the 9-1 Boilermakers took care of business against Alabama and Iowa in their last two games.

Of course, a victory would go a long way for either program, notching a feather in their cap. Arizona would be able to secure their top ranking for another week, while Purdue would have a claim to the top spot with a win. Here’s everything you need to know for the showdown.

Odds for Arizona vs. Purdue

Coming into the game, Arizona is a 2.5-point favorite over Purdue, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Wildcats are also currently listed at -132 for the moneyline at the moment, while the Boilermakers are sitting at +110. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 159.5 points. We’ll see if these two potent programs can reach that mark on Saturday afternoon.

Final score predictions for Arizona vs. Purdue

BPI Predicted winner: Purdue
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.0
BPI Win probability (for Purdue): 57.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 98.0

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.0 points in Purdue’s favor. It also gives the Boilermakers a 57.1 percent chance to win the game over the Badgers. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 98.0, which is the best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Purdue 81, Arizona 80
KenPom Win probability (for Purdue): 54%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arizona and Purdue, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Boilermakers to win.

How to watch Arizona vs. Purdue

Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Channel: Peacock, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Indianapolis (IN)

Purdue and Arizona are set to tip off at 4:30 p.m. EST. The game will played at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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For fans outside of Indianapolis, the game can be watched on Peacock. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.