Arkansas vs. Kentucky odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Razorbacks, Wildcats

For the second time this season, Arkansas meets Kentucky on the basketball court after the Wildcats narrowly won in Fayetteville back in January.

That contest occurred in front of College GameDay, as the crew traveled to the Razorback campus to do their first live show of the season from Bud Walton Arena. Unfortunately for the Hogs, the excitement of GameDay wasdn’t enough to will this underwhelming group to victory against the ‘Cats. But here, they’ll have one more opportunity to score a victory over Kentucky after they’ve been playing better in recent weeks.

So, ahead of this afternoon’s tip-off, read up below on the point spread, score predictions, TV channel, and all the other relevant info:

Odds for Arkansas vs. Kentucky

FanDuel line: Kentucky -13.5
FanDuel over/under: 166.5

After the ‘Cats fended off Arkansas down there, FanDuel expects a surging UK team to take care of business by double figures in this one. Home games have been a bit of an adventure, both good and bad, for Kentucky this year, but in last Saturday’s outing, the Wildcats hung 117 points on the scoreboard in a blowout win against Alabama. Meanwhile, Arkansas beat Missouri last weekend behind a 42-point outing from Khalif Battle. Although, the Hogs did lose in the midweek in a nasty home defeat vs. Vanderbilt.

Final score predictions

KenPom final score: Kentucky 91, Arkansas 76
KenPom win probability: Kentucky 91%

KenPom also likes Kentucky but by a little more than Vegas with a projected 15-point win this afternoon. The Wildcats currently come out at 18th overall in KP’s metrics, led by the No. 6 offense in the country. On the other hand, Arkansas has by far their lowest-rated KenPom season of the Eric Musselman era and are all the way down at 121st entering Saturday’s slate.

BPI margin of victory: Kentucky by 18.3 points
BPI win probability: Kentucky 92.8%
BPI matchup quality: 69.3 (35th overall on Saturday)

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) is the most bullish on Kentucky of the bench. Forget a 13 or 15-point win, because the BPI is calling for a whupping of more than 18 points by the Wildcats against the Razorbacks. Because of that steep margin of victory, the BPI gives Kentucky nearly a 93% chance at a win while rating this game merely the 35th best of the day, which, even among more than hundred games, is really low.

How to watch

Time: 1:30 p.m. ET / 12:30 p.m. CT
Channel: (CBS), FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Lexington, Kentucky (Rupp Arena)

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Well, it’s the ‘Cats and the Hogs ready to do battle in the early afternoon window. If you’re looking for a bet, perhaps the under is the move. Sure, Kentucky has been an over machine for most of the season, and especially in their last couple games. But going back to their last meeting with Arkansas, the game featured just 120 total points, lowest of the year for a Kentucky game, while the ‘Cats mustered just 63 points, their second-lowest of the year.