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Auburn vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Tide

Alex Weberby:Alex Weber01/24/24
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Photo by Michael Chang/Getty Images

Iron Bowl rivals and SEC hoops leaders Auburn and Alabama are set to do battle in what will be the first big conference test for the first-place Tigers.

Auburn comes into the game 5-0 in the SEC and playing some of the very best basketball in the entire country on both ends of the floor, thanks to phenomenal depth and balance throughout their roster. Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide are more star-driven and offensively gifted and will try to shoot the Tigers out of the ballgame from tip to finish.

Ahead of this rivalry matchup between two of the league’s best, take a look below at all the relevant info — TV listing, tip time, point spreads and predictions:

Odds for Auburn vs. Alabama

Given that Alabama his the home team tonight, the Tide opened up as 3.5-point favorites against Auburn. They’re also slight favorites on the money line at -170.

On the flip side, the Tigers have some juice at +140 to go into what’s likely to be a hostile Coleman Coliseum to pick up their sixth straight win to begin SEC play. The over/under has been set at 161.5 total points.

Final score predictions

Our friend KenPom has liked Alabama all year long, especially their offense, which ranks second in the country in his adjusted metrics. However, their defense fails them, coming in at just 66th, far outside the range of most of the best clubs.

He likes Auburn as well, who rates at No. 5 overall in the country, just a few spots ahead of Alabama’s No. 8 spot. KP’s metrics are fans of the Tigers because Bruce Pearl’s team is elite on both ends of the court, boasting top-10 units on offense and defense — a mark many former championship teams have hit.

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So, with such high respect for each of these SEC foes, KenPom also went the way of Vegas and predicts a slight Alabama victory since they’re at home. He scores it 85-83 in favor of the Tide while assigning them a 56% to pull off the win outright.

As for ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI), well, Alabama is again the favorite, this time by 39 points and with a 63.6% chance to pull off the victory. The BPI also rates Auburn-Alabama as the No. 1 game of the evening in their Matchup Quality metrics, which scored this contest four points higher than second place.

How to watch

Time: 7:30 p.m.
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coleman Coliseum | Tuscaloosa, Alabama

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This is a battle for first place in the SEC. If Auburn somehow pulls off the road win, they’d maintain their spot atop the league as the only undefeated group. Meanwhile, Alabama would force a three-way tie between these two and Tennessee at one loss apiece.