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Big Ten Power Rankings updated after Week 1 of college football

IMG_7408by:Andy Backstrom09/04/24

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All but one Big Ten team emerged victorious opening weekend (sorry, Minnesota). The now-18-team conference went 17-1 in Week 1. That record doesn’t tell the whole story, though, and neither do the current standings nor the preseason Big Ten media poll. Using the On3 Massey Ratings, we’re power ranking all 18 conference teams.

The On3 Massey Ratings — which were officially used during the BCS era and have generated high school sports team rankings since 1995 — rank sports teams by analyzing game outcomes, strength of schedule and margin of victory.

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There are more candidates to reach the Big Ten Championship than just Ohio State and Oregon. That’s clear after Week 1.

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1. Ohio State (1-0)

Jeremiah Smith-Ohio State Buckeyes-Buckeyes
Matt Parker/Lettermen Row

It’s only a matter of time before the Ohio State defense delivers its first shutout since 2019. The Buckeyes piled up 10 tackles for loss, including five sacks, three takeaways and two defensive touchdowns in a 52-6 win over Akron.

The Ohio State offense, on the other hand, came out tight. But a flurry of touchdowns in the second half and the head-turning connection between Kansas State graduate transfer quarterback Will Howard and true freshman wideout Jeremiah Smith stole the show.

2. Michigan (1-0)

As was the case at Oregon, things were too close for comfort at Michigan Saturday. The Wolverines defeated Fresno State, 30-10, but the margin of victory is misleading.

In Sherrone Moore’s first game as full-time head coach, Michigan had a mere 13-3 advantage going into the fourth quarter. Then Fresno State made it a one-score game with about 10 minutes to go. A touchdown pass and pick-six cleaned things up for the Wolverines, but it’s still yet to be seen how explosive this offense can be with (1) Davis Warren at quarterback and (2) a new-look offensive line working out kinks.

3. Penn State (1-0)

Penn State quarterback Drew Allar runs the ball in a season-opening, 34-12 win at West Virginia. (Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports)
Ben Queen/USA TODAY Sports

Drew Allar picked apart West Virginia in the season opener for the second year in a row. Allar tossed three touchdowns, most notably a pair to finally-healthy Harrison “Trey” Wallace III, in the second quarter. Running back Nick Singleton rushed for 114 yards and a touchdown.

In short, the first game of the Andy Kotelnicki offense was a good one. Penn State had four plays of 40-plus yards from scrimmage in a 34-12 rout of WVU — the Nittany Lions had eight of those all last season.

4. Oregon (1-0)

Dillon Gabriel
Eric Becker/ScoopDuckOn3

Oregon didn’t look like the trendy Big Ten champion pick it became this offseason. The Ducks underwhelmed in their opener, beating Idaho only 24-14 despite recording 487 total yards of offense.

Former UCF and Oklahoma star quarterback Dillon Gabriel dinked and dunked Oregon to victory, completing 41-of-49 passes for 380 yards and two scores. But the Ducks had just three plays of 20-plus yards from scrimmage while giving up four to an Idaho team that might make some FCS noise this year.

5. Washington (1-0)

Joe Nicholson/USA TODAY Sports

Yes, Washington returned the fewest starters of any team in the Big Ten. Yes, Washington has a new head coach and quarterback … and, well, a lot of other newness, too. But the Huskies are still talented, and they’re in the hands of capable leaders.

Jedd Fisch is wearing the head set, and former Mississippi State signal caller Will Rogers is orchestrating an offense that enjoyed 482 total yards in a 35-3 win over FCS Weber State. Washington is very different in 2024, but the drop-off doesn’t have to be seismic.

6. USC (1-0)

USC WR Kyron Hudson
Anthony Scott/WeAreSC

USC hasn’t started Big Ten play yet, but the Trojans looked like a Big Ten team against LSU. The Trojans seized the top-25, neutral-site matchup in Allegiant Stadium, defeating the No. 13 Tigers, 27-20, and doing so with much-needed physicality on the defensive side of the ball.

New defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn’s imprint was felt on his unit, which allowed only 117 rushing yards to an LSU team publicly confident in its ability to run the ball this year. Quarterback Miller Moss picked up where he left off in the Holiday Bowl, throwing for 378 yards. And USC wideout Kyron Hudson made what could easily be the catch of the year.

7. Iowa (1-0)

It’s not how you start, it’s how you finish, I guess: After scoring only six points in the first half against FCS Illinois State, Iowa pulled away with 34 points over the final two quarters, securing a 40-0 victory. Cade McNamara settled in, throwing for three touchdowns in Tim Lester’s new Hawkeyes offense.

Defensive lineman Aaron Graves wowed with three sacks — that’s double his 2023 total. Look, it’s still “wait and see” for Lester’s group, but Iowa’s defense is pretty darn imposing.

8. Maryland (1-0)

Maryland brought in MJ Morris from North Carolina State to compete for the starting quarterback job. Billy Edwards Jr. won it, anyway. The two-year backup for Taulia Tagovailoa got his chance to shine as a season-opening starter and turned in a 300-yard game, plus, more importantly, a 50-7 win over UConn.

The Terrapins obliterated the Huskies to the tune of 629 yards. Maryland in September and Maryland in October/November are often two different teams. If the Terps start hot … again … can they stay hot?

9. Wisconsin (1-0)

Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Wisconsin had to face an upset-hungry Western Michigan team that overhauled its defensive scheme with Scott Power now coordinating that unit. The Badgers took a minute to adjust but ultimately pulled away in the fourth quarter with a pair of touchdowns in the final 11 minutes of play.

The Phil Longo “Air Raid” offense didn’t pop, as Miami transfer quarterback Tyler Van Dyke threw for just 192 yards, but Wisconsin converted 11-of-17 third/fourth downs and got out of Week 1 with a 28-14 win.

10. UCLA (1-0)

Marco Garcia-Imagn Images

It took a late, 32-yard field goal from Mateen Bhaghani for UCLA to beat Hawaii, 16-13. All of the Bruins’ points came in the second half. Quarterback Ethan Garbers hardly got off to the start he was looking for, completing only 19-of-38 attempts for 272 yards, a touchdown and two picks.

Luckily for first-year Bruins head coach DeShaun Foster, his team has a bye before opening Big Ten competition in Week 3. UCLA, after all, was pretty darn close to being the first power conference team Hawaii’s defeated since 2019.

Rest of the Big Ten

11. Nebraska (1-0)
12. Rutgers (1-0)
13. Northwestern (1-0)
14. Illinois (1-0)
15. Purdue (1-0)
16. Minnesota (0-1)
17. Michigan State (1-0)
18. Indiana (1-0)

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We learned a lot from Week 1. Penn State looked legit, and so did USC. Iowa and Michigan are mighty again defensively, but the jury is out on their offenses. The middle of the league has some fun dark horses, like Wisconsin and Nebraska. Then there’s the back half of the conference, which will come into picture more as the season goes on — even that bunch has teams that can make a jump into the top 10, namely Rutgers.