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2023 Big Ten Basketball Tournament: Updated projected seeds, schedule, magic numbers

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko02/28/23

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(Photo by Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

The Big Ten basketball tournament has a clearer picture after Monday’s slate of basketball games. The latest projected seeds, schedule and magic numbers are available as teams fight for positioning in the conference tournament. 

There are roughly two games left for every team in the conference.

Let’s dive into the standings and probabilities for teams who are in position for the top seed in the Big Ten, via PlayoffStatus.com.

Big Ten Standings

1. Purdue, 24-5 (13-5)
2. Indiana, 20-9 (11-7)
3. Maryland, 20-9 (11-7)
4. Northwestern, 20-9 (11-7)
5. Michigan, 17-12 (11-7)
6. Illinois, 19-10, (10-8)
7. Iowa, 18-11 (10-8)
8. Rutgers, 18-11 (10-8)
9. Michigan State, 17-11 (9-8)
10. Penn State, 17-12 (8-10)
11. Wisconsin, 16-12 (8-10)
12. Nebraska, 15-14 (8-10)
13. Ohio State, 12-17 (4-14)
14. Minnesota, 7-20 (1-16)

Purdue has a 93% chance to grab the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten. After some wackiness over the weekend, Maryland has a 3% chance to grab the top spot and Northwestern and Indiana have a 2% chance. Michigan has a less than 1% chance.

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Only Purdue controls its own destiny for the top seed in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers’ magic number to clinch the top spot is down to one.

As far as the bottom five teams in the conference, their highest probability of finish might surprise you. Minnesota can finish as high as No. 13, the same goes for Ohio State. WIsconsin can finish as high as No. 7 and Penn State and  Nebraska can finish as high as No. 6.

Tuesday’s Big Ten Basketball Schedule

Iowa at No. 15 Indiana, 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2

Michigan State at Nebraska, 9:00 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network

Big Ten Tournament Schedule

First Round: Wed., March 8

Game 1: No. 12 seed vs. No. 13 seed | 6:30 p.m. ET (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 2: No. 11 seed vs. No. 14 seed | 25 minutes after Game 1(BTN/FOX Sports App)

Second Round: Thurs., March 9

Game 3: No. 8 seed vs. No. 9 seed | 12:00 p.m. ET (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 4: No. 5 seed vs. Game 1 winner | 25 minutes after Game 1 (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 5: No. 7 seed vs. 10 seed | 6:30 p.m. ET (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 6: No. 6 seed vs. Game 2 winner | 25 minutes after Game 5 (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Quarterfinals: Fri., March 10

Game 7: No. 1 seed vs. Game 3 winner | 12:00 p.m. ET (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 8: No. 4 seed vs. Game 4 winner | 25 minutes after Game 7 (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 9: No. 2 seed vs. Game 5 winner | 6:30 p.m. ET (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Game 10: No. 3 seed vs. Game 6 winner | 25 minutes after Game 9 (BTN/FOX Sports App)

Semifinals: Sat., March 11

Game 11: Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner | 1:00 p.m. ET (CBS/Paramount+)

Game 12: Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner | 25 minutes after Game 11 (CBS/Paramount+)

Championship Game: Sun., March 12 

Game 11 winner vs. Game 12 winner | 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS/Paramount+)