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CBS Sports updates College Football Playoff, full Bowl predictions ahead of Week 4

IMG_0985by:Griffin McVeigh09/19/23

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INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 09: A view of the National Championship logo on the field as the Georgia Bulldogs run a play against the TCU Horned Frogs in the College Football Playoff National Championship game at SoFi Stadium on January 09, 2023 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

Through three weeks of the regular season, the College Football Playoff race is as open as ever. Conference play is about to begin across the country, with a few key matchups coming up this weekend. Before another Saturday slate occurs, CBS Sports updated its CFP and bowl projections.

When it comes to the College Football Playoff, there were no huge upsets that occurred in Week 3. Florida was able to get a huge win against Tennessee, continuing an impressive home win streak against the Volunteers. Billy Napier desperately needed to beat a rival this season and checked a massive box at the Swamp.

Elsewhere, a ton of top teams were still facing off against nonconference opponents. The schedule is about to ramp up and the College Football Playoff picture could become a lot clearer in the coming weeks.

1. Georgia

Georgia HC Kirby Smart
Joshua L. Jones | USA TODAY NETWORK

Following their win against South Carolina, the back-to-back national championship are still likely the favorites to win it all. Not everything has been perfect, though — at least compared to the past two years.

Kirby Smart is still figuring out some kinks with his team but has nine more regular season games to get Georgia to play at an elite level. Without there really being a standout, best team in the country, the Bulldogs still hold onto the top spot.

2. Michigan

JJ McCarthy
© Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan has slept walked through the first three weeks of the regular season, even without head coach Jim Harbaugh. But with Harbaugh coming back from suspension and a Big Ten opponent finally on the schedule, the Wolverines are truly seeing their campaign begin.

They will be hoping to make a third consecutive College Football Playoff but to this point, there have been no wins. Michigan expects to be in the race toward the end of the season and wants to compete for a national championship.

3. Texas

Jahdae Barron (Will Gallagher/Inside Texas)

The final score indicates Texas won comfortably against Wyoming but the game was tied in the fourth quarter. Either way, Steve Sarkisian is going to take a win over the Cowboys after defeating a Big 12 rival, Texas Tech, during Week 1.

Conference play will begin for the Longhorns on Saturday, facing off against Baylor. Folks in Austin will be looking to add to the College Football Playoff resume along the way and hear their name called on Selection Sunday in early December.

4. Florida State

Jordan Travis, Florida State Seminoles quarterback
Photo by Melina Myers / USA TODAY Sports

Florida State survived against Boston College in the program’s conference opener. In what would have been a devastating loss for head coach Mike Norvell, the Seminoles found a way to continue an undefeated start to the season.

If Florida State is going to keep its top-four status moving forward, it will have to get a win on the road against Clemson on Saturday. An early morning kick is scheduled for what is a monster game in terms of the ACC and College Football Playoff race.

Fiesta Bowl: Washington vs. Tulane

Washington HC Kalen DeBoer
James Snook | USA TODAY Sports

If Tulane were to make the Fiesta Bowl, it would mark the second consecutive New Year’s Six bowl game for the program. Washington would be another Pac-12 opponent too, with the Green Wave taking down USC last season.

Washington is playing as well as anybody in the country, recently blowing out Michigan State in East Lansing. Kalen DeBoer will be aiming for the College Football Playoff but for now, is projected to make the NY6.

Orange Bowl: North Carolina vs. Ohio State

unc-releases-hype-video-ahead-of-season-opener-vs-south-carolina
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

If North Carolina and Ohio State were to meet up in the Orange Bowl, it would mark the first matchup between the two since 1975. Facing unfamiliar foes is what the bowl season is all about, especially in the New Year’s Six.

Heading into Week 4, both teams are undefeated and looking to win their conference. CBS Sports projects there to be a stumble along the way somewhere for the ACC and Big Ten programs eventually, placing them in the Orange Bowl.

Peach Bowl: Alabama vs. Penn State

Alabama coach Nick Saban
Nick Saban (John David Mercer / USA TODAY Sports)

Alabama has never gone three years without a national championship in the Nick Saban era. But with how the quarterback situation sits at the moment, the Crimson Tide are going to feel lucky to wind up in the Peach Bowl at the moment.

However, facing Penn State would bring back an unusual rivalry. The two programs have plenty of history with one another, facing off for 10 consecutive seasons from 1981 to 1990. Another chapter could take place around the New Year.

Cotton Bowl: USC vs. LSU

usc-trojans-quarterback-caleb-williams-wants-to-be-immortal-in-college-football-history
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Arlington, TX would be the site of the LSU-USC matchup, a preview of the 2024 season opener for both programs. That game will be played in Las Vegas but will give Lincoln Riley and Brian Kelly an early look at each other if CBS Sports’ projection becomes true.

At this point of the season, LSU and USC will still be hoping to make the College Football Playoff. Both have a difficult schedule ahead of them in the SEC West and Pac-12, respectively. A slip-up or two and the Cotton Bowl could win up being the postseason destination.

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Remaining bowl game projections

SATURDAY, Dec. 16
Bahamas BowlFIU vs. Eastern Michigan
Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium (Nassau, Bahamas)
11 a.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

R+L Carriers New Orleans BowlLiberty vs. Appalachian State
Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
2:15 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Cure BowlArmy vs. Marshall
Exploria Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
3:30 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

New Mexico BowlSan Diego State vs. UTSA
University Stadium (Albuquerque, New Mexico)
5:45 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

LA BowlColorado vs. Fresno State
SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
7:30 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

Radiance Technologies Independence BowlKansas vs. Washington State
Independence Stadium (Shreveport, Louisiana)
9:15 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

MONDAY, Dec. 18
Myrtle Beach BowlTroy vs. Toledo
Brooks Stadium (Conway, South Carolina)
2:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

TUESDAY, Dec. 19
Scooter’s Coffee Frisco BowlSMU vs. Oklahoma State
Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
9 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

THURSDAY, Dec. 21
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton BowlWest Virginia vs. Coastal Carolina
FAU Stadium (Boca Raton, Florida)
8 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

FRIDAY, Dec. 22
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla BowlFlorida vs. South Alabama
Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
6:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

SATURDAY, Dec. 23
Birmingham BowlBaylor vs. South Carolina
Protective Stadium (Birmingham, Alabama)
Noon, ABC and the ESPN App

Camellia BowlRice vs. James Madison
Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
Noon, ESPN and the ESPN App

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces BowlTexas Tech vs. UNLV
Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)
3:30 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

Famous Idaho Potato BowlNorthern Illinois vs. Wyoming
Albertsons Stadium (Boise, Idaho)
3:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

68 Ventures BowlMiddle Tennessee State vs. Georgia Southern
Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)
7 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

SRS Distribution Las Vegas BowlIowa vs. Utah
Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
7:30 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

EasyPost Hawai’i BowlBoise State vs. FAU
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu)
10:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

TUESDAY, Dec. 26
Quick Lane BowlMichigan State vs. Miami (OH)
Ford Field (Detroit)
2 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

SERVPRO First Responder BowlLouisiana vs. Western Kentucky
Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas)
5:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Guaranteed Rate BowlBYU vs. Purdue
Chase Field (Phoenix)
9 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

WEDNESDAY, Dec. 27
Military BowlWake Forest vs. Memphis
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Maryland)
2 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Duke’s Mayo BowlDuke vs. Kentucky
Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, North Carolina)
5:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Holiday BowlSyracuse vs. UCLA
Petco Park (San Diego)
8 p.m., Fox

TaxAct Texas BowlTCU vs. Texas A&M
NRG Stadium (Houston)
9 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

THURSDAY, Dec. 28

Wasabi Fenway BowlBoston College vs. Navy
Fenway Park (Boston)
11 a.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe BowlMaryland vs. Louisville
Yankee Stadium (New York)
2:15 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Pop-Tarts BowlNotre Dame vs. Kansas State
Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
5:45 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

Valero Alamo BowlOklahoma vs. Oregon
Alamodome (San Antonio)
9:15 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

FRIDAY, Dec. 29
TaxSlayer Gator BowlMiami (FL) vs. Mississippi State
TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville, Florida)
Noon, ESPN and the ESPN App

Tony the Tiger Sun BowlNC State vs. Oregon State
Sun Bowl Stadium (El Paso, Texas)
2 p.m., CBS

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: UCF vs. Auburn
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tennessee)
3:30 p.m., ESPN and the ESPN App

SATURDAY, Dec. 30
TransPerfect Music City BowlMinnesota vs. Missouri
Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
2 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

Barstool Sports Arizona BowlAir Force vs. Ohio
Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Arizona)
4:30 p.m.

MONDAY, Jan. 1
ReliaQuest BowlClemson vs. Ole Miss
Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
Noon, ESPN2 and the ESPN App

Cheez-It Citrus BowlWisconsin vs. Tennessee
Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
1 p.m., ABC and the ESPN App

A huge slate of games is set to take place during Week 4. There will be plenty of College Football Playoff implications on the line with matchups occurring across the entire country. By this time next week, the projects could look completely different.