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College Football Predictions: ESPN picks winners of every Top 25 game in Week 13

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko11/22/23

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The latest college football predictions are in from ESPN’s FPI metrics for every Top 25 game in Week 13 of the regular season.

The metrics and lines from Vegas use logic of course, saying who should win. However, it’s rivalry week, so a lot of weird stuff could happen.

Let’s dive into the latest ESPN predictions using the FPI to take a look at the top 25 matchups in Week 13 for Saturday’s slate. Note there are Thursday and Friday games this week.

No. 1 Georgia vs. Georgia Tech

Joshua L. Jones / USA TODAY NETWORK

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Georgia (-24)
FPI Prediction: Georgia – 92.4%

This one shouldn’t be a contest on paper, but give credit to the Yellow Jackets for becoming bowl eligible this season. They just have a different animal in the Bulldogs who look to three-peat.

No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Michigan

Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK / USA TODAY NETWORK

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Michigan (-3)
FPI Prediction: Michigan – 55.1%

The Game and what we’ve all been waiting for all season. Two undefeated teams, a Big Ten Championship and College Football Playoff appearance on the line. What could be better? Wolverines are favored due to being at home.

Washington State vs. No. 4 Washington

James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

Kickoff: 4:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Washington (-16.5)
FPI Prediction: Washington – 88.8%

The Huskies and the Cougars square off in the final Apple Cup within the Pac-12. The good news is, it’s been extended for the next five years. Washington is the big favorite and are in prime playoff position.

No. 5 Florida State vs. Florida

 Alicia Devine/Tallahassee Democrat / USA TODAY NETWORK

Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Florida State (-6.5)
FPI Prediction: Florida State – 81.4%

Without Jordan Travis, this game might be a little closer than anticipated. However, the FPI loves FSU in this one. The Seminoles need a statement to show they’re still a playoff team.

No. 16 Oregon State vs. No. 6 Oregon

Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK

Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. ET (FOX), Friday
Spread: Oregon (-14)
FPI Prediction: Oregon – 80.9%

The latest edition of the Civil War is a doozy. The Beavers can’t make the Pac-12 title game, but they can send the Ducks to the Big Ten without a Pac-12 title game appearance and CFP berth. It’ll be a tough task.

Texas Tech vs. No. 7 Texas

Aaron E. Martinez/Austin American-Statesman via USA TODAY NETWORK

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Texas (-12.5)
FPI Prediction: Texas – 86.3%

The Longhorns are the big favorites at home to conclude the regular season. Texas knows it has to win out and win the Big 12 to have a shot at the playoff. Maybe the Red Raiders play spoiler.

No. 8 Alabama vs. Auburn

Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
FPI Prediction: Alabama – 85.7%

The Iron Bowl has a lot riding on it this year. While Auburn isn’t in the title mix, Alabama is. The Crimson Tide are going to the SEC Championship but need a win to keep the CFP hopes alive.

Rest of Top 25 matchups

No. 9 Missouri vs. Arkansas

Kickoff: 4:00 p.m. ET (CBS), Friday
Spread: Missouri (-7.5)
FPI Prediction: Missouri – 71.3%

Kentucky vs. No. 10 Louisville

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Louisville (-7)
FPI Prediction: Louisville – 74.3%

No. 11 Penn State vs. Michigan State

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC), Friday
Spread: Penn State (-21)
FPI Prediction: Penn State – 95%

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No. 12 Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN), Thursday
Spread: Ole Miss (-10)
FPI Prediction: Ole Miss – 82.3%

TCU vs. No. 13 Oklahoma

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (FOX), Friday
Spread: Oklahoma (-10)
FPI Prediction: Oklahoma – 84.4%

Texas A&M vs. No. 14 LSU

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: LSU (-11)
FPI Prediction: LSU – 69.2%

No. 15 Arizona vs. Arizona State

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Arizona – 10.5
FPI Prediction: Arizona – 84.3%

No. 17 Iowa vs. Nebraska

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (CBS), Friday
Spread: Nebraska (-2)
FPI Prediction: Iowa – 60.6%

No. 18 Notre Dame vs. Stanford

Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network)
Spread: Notre Dame (-26)
FPI Prediction: Notre Dame – 95.8%

Iowa State vs. No. 19 Kansas State

Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Kansas State (-10)
FPI Prediction: Kansas State – 84.5%

BYU vs. No. 20 Oklahoma State

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Oklahoma State (-17)
FPI Prediction: Oklahoma State – 81.8%

Vanderbilt vs. No. 21 Tennessee

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
Spread: Tennessee (-27)
FPI Prediction: Tennessee – 95%

North Carolina vs. No. 22 NC State

Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET (ACC Network)
Spread: North Carolina (-2.5)
FPI Prediction: North Carolina – 62.2%

UTSA vs. No. 23 Tulane

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC), Friday
Spread: Tulane (-3.5)
FPI Prediction: Tulane – 59.2%

No. 24 Clemson vs. South Carolina

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
Spread: Clemson (-7)
FPI Prediction: Clemson – 65.5%

UTEP vs. No. 25 Liberty

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)
Spread: Liberty (-16.5)
FPI Prediction: Liberty – 86%

With the final week of the regular season here, it’s fine to say it’s been a wild ride this season. So get ready for the chaos that are the College Football Playoff rankings.