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Wake Forest vs. Duke: How to watch, odds, picks, final score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Screen Shot 2024-05-28 at 9.09.17 AMby:Kaiden Smith01/31/23

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(King/Getty Images)

Two ACC in-state opponents will square off on Tuesday as Wake Forest will travel 81 miles to face Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Before ESPN’s primetime Tuesday night matchup, the predictions and betting odds – including KenPom analytics – are rolling in.

How to watch Wake Forest vs. Duke

Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET

Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, North Carolina

Channel: ESPN

Vegas odds

Duke is a 7.5-point favorite over Wake Forest on Tuesday, according to VegasInsider. The over-under is set at 146.5 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted point differential: 9.6

Win probability (for Duke): 81.7%

Matchup quality: 76.8

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN’s BPI has Duke vs Wake Forest ranked as the 10th highest-rated game on Tuesday’s slate in terms of matchup quality.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Duke 78, Wake Forest 70

Win probability (for Duke): 78%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Duke comes away with a victory over Wake Forest.

More on Wake Forest vs. Duke

This will be the Blue Devils and Demon Deacons’ second meeting of the season, with the first ending in a 81-70 victory for Wake Forest at home in Winston-Salem. The previous matchup was highlighted by an excellent shooting performance by Wake Forest where they shot 49.1% from the field and 36.8% from three-point range.

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The Demon Deacons still remain as one of the best shooting teams in the ACC, ranking third in the ACC in field goal percentage at 46.8%. They’re led by senior guard Tyree Appleby, whose 17.7 points per game rank first on the conference and 6.1 assists per game tie for first. He had an 18 point, eight assist game against the Blue Devils in their last matchup, and will likely be a key catalyst again in this one.

Wake Forest will be looking to bounce back from three straight losses, but Duke is fresh off of a dominant 86-43 performance against Georgia Tech. Center and leading scorer Kyle Filipowski had 18 points in the win, maintaining a seven-game stretch of scoring in double figures.

He had a disappointing nine-point performance in his last game against Wake Forest shooting 28.6% from the field, but guard Jaylen Blakes matched a career high with 17 points versus the Demon Deacons, and could give them problems again on Tuesday.