Duke vs. Arkansas odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Blue Devils, Razorbacks

The Duke Blue Devils and Arkansas Razorbacks are getting ready to play what should be an exciting clash in the ACC/SEC Challenge on Tuesday.

The Blue Devils are off to a hot start this season, even though they tripped up against Arizona earlier. However, Duke has been spotless since then, with a record of 5-1. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are coming off back-to-back losses, as they fell to Memphis and North Carolina during the Battle 4 Atlantis.

Alas, we can always count on the ACC/SEC Challenge for some fascinating games. Tuesday’s game between Duke and Arkansas should be no different. Here’s everything you need to know.

Odds for Duke vs. Arkansas

Coming into the game, Duke is a 5.5-point favorite over Michigan State, per FanDuel. The Blue Devils are also currently listed at -210 for the moneyline, right now, while the Razorbacks are sitting at +172. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 149.5 points. We’ll see if Duke and Arkansas can race to that number on Wednesday. 

Final score predictions for Duke vs. Arkansas

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.7
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 52.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 92.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.7 points in Duke’s favor. It also gives the Blue Devils a 52.5 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 92.9, which is the third-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 77, Arkansas 74
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 61%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to get the victory.

How to watch Duke vs. Arkansas

Time: 9:15 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Fayetteville (AR)

Duke and Arkansas are set to tip off at 9:15 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, with a raucous crowd expected.

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For fans outside of Arkansas, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.