Duke vs. Michigan State odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Blue Devils, Spartans

The Duke Blue Devils and Michigan State Spartans are getting ready to play what should be an exciting early-season matchup on Tuesday night. With both teams coming into the game ranked but with a loss on their records already, it’s going to be an incredibly important non-conference game for both programs to win.

The Blue Devils got off to a hot start this season, with a dominant win against an overmatched Dartmouth team. However, Duke then ran into trouble against Arizona, one of the best teams in the country. In Michigan State’s case, the Spartans suffered an early season upset against James Madison. However, with the Dukes now ranked, that loss doesn’t look as it initially did.

This is one of two games in the Champions Classic, a marquee double-header of college basketball games between historic programs. That’s going to make this a neutral site game and it will lead into a game between Kansas and Kentucky.

Odds for Duke vs. Michigan State

Coming into the game, Duke is a 3.5-point favorite over Michigan State, per FanDuel. The Blue Devils are also currently listed at -170 for the moneyline, right now, while the Spartans are sitting at +140.

The point total for the game is currently set at 142.5 points. In three of the four games that these two teams have played, including an overtime game, at least that many points have been scored.

Final score predictions for Duke vs. Michigan State

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 3
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 61.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 90.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.0 points in Duke’s favor. It also gives the Blue Devils a 61.8 percent chance to win the game over the Spartans.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 90.6, which is the second-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 70, Michigan State 67
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 60 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and Michigan State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to lose by

How to watch Duke vs. Michigan State

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Chicago (Ill.)

Duke and Michigan State are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois, rather than an on-campus venue, as part of the Champions Classic.

For fans outside of Chicago, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.