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ESPN reveals updated bowl, College Football Playoff predictions following wild Week 11

Chandler Vesselsby:Chandler Vessels11/13/22

ChandlerVessels

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Week 11 certainly had its fair share of surprising results that impacted both the College Football Playoff and bowl picture. With much to analyze, ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach released their updated projections.

Oregon, which was listed as a CFP team in last week’s predictions according to Bonagura, fell out as a result of its 37-34 loss to Washington on Saturday. Bonagura replaced the Ducks with Tennessee in his prediction this week, while Schlabach took Michigan out of his projected Playoff to add a different Pac-12 contender in USC.

Bonagura has the Wolverines in his Playoff, however, while Schlabach picked Ohio State to represent the Big Ten. The Buckeyes are set to face Michigan at noon ET on Nov. 26 with the winner likely a lock to make the CFP assuming they also take care of business in the Big Ten Championship.

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Other than that, Bonagura and Schlabach agree that Georgia and TCU will make the Playoff. The Horned Frogs (10-0) continued to roll with a big win against Texas this past week, while the Bulldogs (10-0) handled business in a 45-19 win against Mississippi State.

As we saw this past week, projections can change dramatically with just one Saturday’s worth of games and plenty more will change between now and the conference championships. Here is a look at how ESPN sees the College Football Playoff and bowl season lining up after Week 11.

College Football Playoff predictions after Week 11

CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T
Bonagura: Georgia vs. Michigan
Schlabach: Georgia vs. Ohio State

CFP semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Bonagura: Georgia vs. TCU
Schlabach: Georgia vs. USC

CFP semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
Bonagura: Michigan vs. Tennessee
Schlabach: Ohio State vs. TCU

New Year’s Six

Capital One Orange Bowl
Bonagura: Clemson vs. Alabama
Schlabach: Clemson vs. LSU

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Bonagura: Kansas State vs. LSU
Schlabach: Kansas State vs. Tennessee

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
Bonagura: North Carolina vs. UCF
Schlabach: Alabama vs. UCF

Rose Bowl Game
Bonagura: Ohio State vs. USC
Schlabach: Michigan vs. Oregon

Bowl game predictions post-Week 11

HomeTown Lenders Bahamas Bowl
Bonagura: Rice vs. Buffalo
Schlabach: Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan

Duluth Trading Cure Bowl
Bonagura: Georgia Southern vs. Middle Tennessee
Schlabach: SMU vs. UAB

Wasabi Fenway Bowl
Bonagura: Syracuse vs. Memphis
Schlabach: Syracuse vs. Cincinnati

Cricket Celebration Bowl
Bonagura: North Carolina Central vs. Jackson State
Schlabach: North Carolina Central vs. Jackson State

New Mexico Bowl
Bonagura: BYU vs. UNLV
Schlabach: UConn vs. San Diego State

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Presented by Stifel
Bonagura: Oregon State vs. Boise State
Schlabach: Washington State vs. Boise State

LendingTree Bowl
Bonagura: Appalachian State vs. UConn
Schlabach: Troy vs. BYU

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl
Bonagura: Oregon vs. South Carolina
Schlabach: UCLA vs. Mississippi State

Frisco Bowl
Bonagura: North Texas vs. Fresno State
Schlabach: Liberty vs. UNLV

Myrtle Beach Bowl
Bonagura: Marshall vs. Florida Atlantic
Schlabach: East Carolina vs. Middle Tennessee State

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Bonagura: Wyoming vs. Ohio
Schlabach: San Jose State vs. Toledo

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl
Bonagura: Ball State vs. Louisiana
Schlabach: Ohio vs. Georgia Southern

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Bonagura: UTSA vs. Troy
Schlabach: UTSA vs. Coastal Carolina

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Bonagura: Texas Tech vs. SMU
Schlabach: Kansas vs. Tulane

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
Bonagura: Houston vs. Liberty
Schlabach: Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Bonagura: Tulane vs. Coastal Carolina
Schlabach: Duke vs. Appalachian State

EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl
Bonagura: Western Kentucky vs. San Jose State
Schlabach: North Texas vs. Air Force

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Quick Lane Bowl
Bonagura: Wisconsin vs. Toledo
Schlabach: Wisconsin vs. Eastern Michigan

Camellia Bowl
Bonagura: UAB vs. South Alabama
Schlabach: Buffalo vs. Southern Miss

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
Bonagura: Washington State vs. Air Force
Schlabach: Marshall vs. Wyoming

TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl
Bonagura: Cincinnati vs. Michigan State
Schlabach: Memphis vs. South Alabama

Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Bonagura: Oklahoma vs. Maryland
Schlabach: Texas Tech vs. Maryland

Military Bowl presented by Peraton
Bonagura: Wake Forest vs. East Carolina
Schlabach: NC State vs. Houston

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Bonagura: Kansas vs. Missouri
Schlabach: Oklahoma vs. Michigan State

San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl
Bonagura: NC State vs. Washington
Schlabach: Notre Dame vs. Washington

TaxAct Texas Bowl
Bonagura: Mississippi State vs. Baylor
Schlabach: Arkansas vs. Baylor

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Bonagura: Pittsburgh vs. Purdue
Schlabach: Wake Forest vs. Iowa

Cheez-It Bowl
Bonagura: Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Schlabach: North Carolina vs. Texas

Valero Alamo Bowl
Bonagura: Texas vs. Utah
Schlabach: Oklahoma State vs. Utah

Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Bonagura: Duke vs. Iowa
Schlabach: Louisville vs. Illinois

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Bonagura: Louisville vs. UCLA
Schlabach: Pittsburgh vs. Oregon State

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Bonagura: Notre Dame vs. Kentucky
Schlabach: Florida State vs. South Carolina

Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl
Bonagura: San Diego State vs. Eastern Michigan
Schlabach: Fresno State vs. Ball State

TransPerfect Music City Bowl
Bonagura: Illinois vs. Arkansas
Schlabach: Minnesota vs. Kentucky

ReliaQuest Bowl
Bonagura: Minnesota vs. Florida
Schlabach: Purdue vs. Florida

Citrus Bowl
Bonagura: Penn State vs. Ole Miss
Schlabach: Penn State vs. Ole Miss