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Florida vs. Kentucky odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Gators, Wildcats

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko01/31/24

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Florida hits the road to take on Kentucky in an SEC basketball tilt and the latest odds and predictions were revealed for the matchup.

The Gators are quietly putting together a solid year (14-6, 4-3) and have a chance at an upset. The Wildcats (15-4, 5-2) are ranked No. 10 in the country.

So without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for Florida-Kentucky as the calendar turns to the final third of the regular season.

Odds for Florida vs. Kentucky

Kentucky is currently listed as a 5.5 point favorite, according to FanDuel. If you want to bet the game straight up, Kentucky is -255 on the moneyline and Florida is listed as +205 in a straight up bet.

As far as the point total, it’s listed at 170.5 points, so Vegas is expecting a high-scoring basketball game Wednesday night.

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Kentucky

BPI Predicted winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted point differential: 6.9
BPI Win probability (for Kentucky): 71.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.6

Based on ESPN’s metric, Kentucky is the big favorite. ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Going into this one, BPI has the Wildcats over a 70% chance to win and is a bigger favorite than the FanDuel odds.

The matchup quality is listed at 83.6, which ranks No. 3 overall during the Wednesday night slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kentucky wins 90-84
KenPom Win probability (for Kentucky): 69%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric has the Wildcats winning by six, so right around what Vegas and ESPN think.

How to watch Florida vs. Kentucky

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN/FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Lexington (Ken.)

The Gators and Wildcats tip off in Lexington at 8:00 p.m. ET. However, you can watch the game on ESPN or FuboTV.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

If you want a free to trial to watch Florida and Kentucky, clink on the link above.