Florida State vs. Miami odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Seminoles, Hurricanes

The Florida State Seminoles are traveling to Coral Gables to take on the Miami Hurricanes on Wednesday night. With both teams battling for position in ACC play, this rivalry game could go a long way into determining position within the conference.

The Seminoles are entering the game with a 10-6 record and a 4-1 record in ACC play. They’re also coming in on a four game winning streak that dates back to their upset loss against Lipscomb. They’ve also won six of their last seven. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have a 12-4 record and a 3-2 record in conference play but have lost two of their last three.

Florida State and Miami are natural rivals, sharing a state and conference and typically recruiting against one another. That always adds a layer of motivation to this game, which comes at a key time for each team in ACC play.

Odds for Florida State vs. Miami

Miami enters the game as a 7.5-point favorite over Florida State, according to FanDuel. The Hurricanes are listed at -320 for the moneyline while the Seminoles are set at +255.

The point total for the game is currently set at 157.5 points. In Miami’s prior two games, that was more than the total points scored, while it only hit once in Florida State’s two most recent games this season.

Final score predictions for Florida State vs. Miami

BPI Predicted winner: Miami
BPI Predicted point differential: 9.5
BPI Win probability (for Miami): 80 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 72.8

BPI is a prediction model from ESPN that’s designed to both provide a statistical comparison between teams and predict future outcomes. It agrees with Vegas that the Miami Hurricanes should be favored to beat the Florida State Seminoles, giving them an 80 percent chance to do so.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 72.8, which is the 13th-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Miami 81, Florida State 75
KenPom Win probability (for Miami): 71 percent

KenPom is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida State and Miami, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Hurricanes to win. However, it predicts the Hurricanes to win by less than the Vegas spread.

How to watch Florida State vs. Miami

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ACCN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coral Gables (FL)

The Florida State and Miami game is set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. ET in Coral Gables, making it a home game for the Hurricanes at the Watsco Center.

Fans who are hoping to see the game from the comfort of their homes can catch it on the ACCN or streaming on FuboTV, which does come with an option for a free trial.

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A win in this game for the Hurricanes would tie the two teams in the ACC standings, at 4-2 in conference play. It would also help to crowd the conference standings. However, a win for the Seminoles would make Florida State 5-1 in ACC play and launch them to the top end of the standings.