FSU vs. Duke: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

ACC play has begun, and Florida State has an early test – battling No. 17 Duke and Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Seminoles (4-10) have struggled against most of their early season competition, losing to teams ranging from Siena and Purdue. But, what should be an easy win for Duke (10-3) on paper has the potential to turn out to be a bigger test than originally thought.

How to watch Kentucky vs. Louisville

Tip-off: 1 p.m. ET

Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium – Durham, NC

Channel: ESPN2

Vegas odds

Duke is a 17.5-point favorite over Florida State Saturday, according to VegasInsider. The over-under is set at 143.5 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Duke

Predicted point differential: 16.4

Win probability (for Duke): 92.5%

Matchup quality: 65.3

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. 

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Duke 79, Florida 63

Win probability (for Duke): 93%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Duke comes away with a victory over Florida State.

More on Duke vs. Florida State

Fresh off its first conference loss against Wake Forest, the Duke Blue Devils have a perfect bounce-back opportunity against a 10-loss Florida State team at home.

On paper, every major predictor service has given Duke a major edge. While their records are the complete opposite, the ‘Noles are playing their best basketball of the season right now. At 2-1 in conference play, they rank fourth in the current conference standings while Duke sits back two spots at No. 6.

Since starting conference play, FSU has taken a top-five ranked Virginia team to the limit in a five-point loss, demolished Louisville at home and is coming off a 73-72 win over Notre Dame. Duke could find themselves in trouble in the second half if they can’t put away the scrappy Seminoles early.