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Houston vs. Texas odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Cougars, Longhorns

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison01/29/24

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Texas head coach Rodney Terry
Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Cougars and the Texas Longhorns are getting set to play one another in a key Big 12 conference clash this Monday. For many fans, it’s exciting to simply get this game as a conference clash before the Longhorns move onto the SEC next season, and the regular season conference race only makes things more interesting.

The Cougars are coming into the game as one of the country’s top teams and are ranked in the top 10 of the polls. The Longhorns, meanwhile, have been ranked at times this season but have lost three of its last five and need to get back on track quickly. After all, the Big 12 slate is daunting and things could get out of hand quickly.

Ahead of the game, here is a look at the odds, win probably, and final score predictions for this important game between Houston and Texas.

Odds for Houston vs. Texas

Coming into the game, the Houston Cougars are a 5.5-point favorite over the Texas Longhorns, according to FanDuel. On top of that, the Cougars are listed at -205 for the moneyline, while the Longhorns are currently listed at +168.

This game’s point total is currently listed at 129.5 points. That’s largely on the back of Houston’s excellent defense. This season, the Cougars are allowing just 60 points per game. The Longhorns, meanwhile, haven’t had a game score fewer than 130 points since December, when they held UNC-Greensboro to just 37 points.

Final score predictions for Houston vs. Texas

BPI Predicted winner: Houston
BPI Predicted point differential: 11.1
BPI Win probability (for UH): 86.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 82.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model that is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, BPI agrees with Vegas that Houston is coming into the game as the favorite to win, giving the Cougars an 11.1-point edge. It is also giving the Cougars an 86.3 percent chance to beat the Longhorns.

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BPI is giving the game between Texas and Houston a matchup quality score of 82.3, which is the second-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Houston 70, Texas 62
KenPom Win probability (for UH): 77 percent

Like BPI, KenPom is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Houston and Texas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting Houston to win by eight points. Notably, KenPom is predicting a total of 132 points to be scored.

How to watch Houston vs. Texas

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Austin (TX)

Houston and Texas are scheduled to start up at 9:00 p.m. ET in Austin, Texas. It’s a home game for the Longhorns, who will be hosting the game at the Moody Center.

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For fans who can’t make it to Austin for the game, it will be available on ESPN to watch. If streaming is a better option, then FuboTV is offering the game. That comes with the option for a free trial that could be used to watch the game.