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Kentucky vs. Gonzaga: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax•11/20/22•

BarkleyTruax

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(Lyons/Getty Images)

No. 2 Gonzaga (2-1) hosts No. 4 Kentucky (3-1) Sunday evening in one of the most anticipated non-conference matchups of the early college basketball season.

Both teams are coming off losses earlier in the week against quality opponents. The Wildcats fell to Michigan State in double overtime – a team the Bulldogs outlasted 64-63 days earlier – while Gonzaga was handed one of its worst losses in recent memory to No. 11 Texas 93-74.

Kentucky was able to sneak another win under its belt in the days following the loss to the Spartans, thrashing South Carolina State 106-63 on Thursday. Sunday will serve as Gonzaga’s first time back on the court since the Texas loss.

A loss would hand Gonzaga its first back-to-back losses since the 2018-19 season when the Brandon Clarke-led Bulldogs lost to Tennessee and North Carolina in December of that year.

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Here is everything you need to know about the first-time-ever matchup between the Bulldogs and Wildcats.

How to watch Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET/4:30 p.m. PT

Location: Spokane, Washington

Channel: ESPN

Vegas odds

Gonzaga is a 3.5-point favorite over Kentucky as of Sunday morning, according to VegasInsider. The over/under is set for 155.5 total points. 53 percent of bets have been placed on the Bulldogs as of this writing.

ESPN BPI Predictions

Predicted winner: Gonzaga

Predicted point differential: 7.5

Win probability (for Gonzaga): 73.3%

Matchup quality: 87.7

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN’s BPI has Gonzaga vs. Kentucky ranked as the fourth-highest rated game on Sunday’s slate in terms of matchup quality.

KenPom

Predicted final score: Gonzaga 79, Kentucky 78

Win probability (for Gonzaga): 55%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Gonzaga will come away with a victory over Kentucky.