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Keon Keeley: On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine favors one team to land commitment

PeterWarrenPhoto2by:Peter Warren08/23/22

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Keon Keeley checks in as the No. 3 overall player on On3's 2023 rankings.(Chad Simmons/On3)

Tampa (Fla.) Berkeley Prep five-star EDGE Keon Keeley spent over a year committed to Notre Dame but the top-five recruit ended that pledge earlier this week.

In the midst of his decommitment and after weeks of rumors, Alabama rose to the top of the pack in Keeley’s recruitment. The On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine has given the Crimson Tide a 91.5% chance of landing Keeley. Ohio State (4.1%) and Florida (2.4%) trail behind them.

RPM was released to the public in December. The On3 engineering group teamed up with Spiny.ai to create the industry’s first algorithm and machine learning-based product to predict where athletes will attend college. 

It factors in machine learning, social sentiment, visits and historical trends. However, expert predictions are still a big piece of the RPM equation. BamaInsider’s two recruiting reporters, Andrew Bone and Joseph Hastings, have both inputted predictions for Keeley to land at Alabama.

But Keeley’s recruitment is not yet over. Florida has been keeping in contact with Keeley for months hoping to get a shot at flipping the state’s top EDGE rusher.

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Keeley also will likely visit Ohio State the first weekend of the season and the Lettermen Row reports that they believe the Buckeyes are a “serious contender.

Keon Keeley is On3’s top defender in the 2023 cycle

Keon Keeley is the No. 11 overall recruit in the 2023 cycle, according to the On3 Consensus, a complete and equally weighted industry-generated average that utilizes all four major recruiting media companies.

The 2023 On300 ranking has Keeley as the No. 3 player in the nation, No. 1 EDGE and No. 1 defensive player. New Orleans Isidore Newman Five-Star Plus+ quarterback Arch Manning and Long Beach (Calif.) Warren five-star quarterback Nico Iamaleava are the two players ranked ahead of him in the cycle.

Keeley currently has an On3 NIL Valuation of $261k. The On3 NIL Valuation is an index that looks to set the standard market value for both high school and college-level athletes. The NIL valuation does not act as a tracker of the value of NIL deals an athlete has completed to date. It rather signifies an athlete’s value at a certain moment in time.