LSU vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Tide

Alabama looks to defend its spot atop the SEC standings as LSU rolls into Tuscaloosa for a Saturday night matchup against the Crimson Tide inside Coleman Coliseum.

The Crimson Tide are coming off a tight 79-75 victory over No. 8 Auburn on Wednesday, while LSU comes into a hostile road environment having dropped two of their last three games.

This will serve as the first of two matchups between the Crimson Tide and Tigers in a two-week span, as Alabama will travel to Baton Rouge on Feb. 10 for a rematch of Saturday’s rivalry matchup.

Odds for LSU vs. Alabama

Coming into the game, Alabama is a 12.5-point favorite over LSU, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Crimson Tide are currently listed at -1000 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Tigers are sitting at +700. 

The point total for the game is set at 161.5 points. Alabama comes into the game averaging 88.6 points per game, which ranked second in the SEC behind Kentucky. Meanwhile, LSU averages 76.1 — eighth in the SEC heading into Saturday. 

Final score predictions for LSU vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 18.2
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 92.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 74.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 18.2 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide a 92.8 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 74.7, which ranks outside of the top 25 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 89, LSU 74
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 66 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Alabama and LSU, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Tigers to lose by roughly a 12-15 points.

How to watch LSU vs. Alabama

Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coleman Coliseum — Tuscaloosa, Alabama

The opening tip between the Crimson Tide and Tigers is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET and will air live on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.