Skip to main content

LSU vs. Florida odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Gators

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison02/13/24

dan_morrison96

Matt McMahon, LSU
© Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Both teams need a win when the LSU Tigers are on the road to take on the Florida Gators on Tuesday night. For the Gators, this is going to be a key game as they try to improve their resume for a potential NCAA Tournament bid, while the Tigers are trying to build up momentum and improve their spot in the standings ahead of the SEC Tournament.

Florida comes into the game tied for fifth in the SEC with a 6-4 conference record and has won five of their last six games. Seemingly, the Gators have turned a corner and are in a good position to make a run. LSU, on the other hand, is only 4-6 in SEC play, which is 10th in the conference. The Tigers also enter the game having lost four of their last five games.

Ahead of that game, here is a look at the odds and predictions for the game, as well as how fans can watch LSU take on Florida.

Odds for LSU vs. Florida

The Florida Gators enter the game as a 10.5-point favorite over the LSU Tigers, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -530 for the moneyline, while the Tigers are at +390.

Meanwhile, the point total for the game is currently set at 161.5 points. Two of Florida’s last four games have gone over that number while three of LSU’s last four have gone over that total as well.

Final score predictions for LSU vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 12.3
BPI Win probability (for UF): 85.1 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 74.3

ESPN’s BPI model is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game, with BPI projecting a point differential of 12.3 points in the Gators’ favor. BPI is also giving Florida an 85.1 percent chance to win the game.

BPI is giving this game a matchup quality score of 74.3. That is the 13th-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 85, LSU 75
KenPom Win probability (for UF): 81 percent

KenPom, like BPI, is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between LSU and Florida, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to win by 10 points.

How to watch LSU vs. Florida

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Gainesville, FL

Florida and LSU are set to tip-off at 8:00 p.m. ET in Gainesville, making it a home game for the Gators. Florida plays at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center, which has a capacity of more than 10,000 fans for big SEC games like this one.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans

For fans who can’t make it to Gainesville for the game, it will be on the SEC Network tonight. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.