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Miami vs. Notre Dame odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Hurricanes, Irish

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra01/24/24

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Notre Dame, Miami
© Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Hurricanes and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are preparing for what should be an awesome clash on Wednesday night.

Entering Wednesday’s showdown, the Hurricanes are 12-6 on the season, but have lost four of their last five games. On the other hand, the Fighting Irish have struggled to get going over the course of their campaign, sitting at 7-11, also falling in four of their last five, like Miami.

Nevertheless, someone has to win when these two programs face off. Perhaps it’ll be the start of a winning streak. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Miami and Notre Dame tip off.

Odds for Miami vs. Notre Dame

Coming into the game, Miami is a 4.5-point favorite over Notre Dame, per FanDuel. The Hurricanes are also currently listed at -196 for the moneyline, right now, while the Fighting Irish are sitting at +162. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 139.5 points. We’ll see if these two rivals can get to that total when they clash on Wednesday.

Final score predictions for Miami vs. Notre Dame

BPI Predicted winner: Miami
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.5
BPI Win probability (for Miami): 70.2 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 67.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 5.5 points in Miami’s favor. It also gives the Hurricanes a 70.2 percent chance to win the game over the Fighting Irish. 

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BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 67.1, which isn’t one of the best for Wednesday’s action, but it could still be a good game.

KenPom Predicted final score: Miami 71, Notre Dame 67
KenPom Win probability (for Miami): 65 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Miami and Notre Dame, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Hurricanes to win.

How to watch Miami vs. Notre Dame

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Purcell Pavilion | South Bend, Indiana

Miami and Notre Dame are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at thePurcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana, with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

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For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPN2. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.