Michigan at Michigan State: How to watch, odds, score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

It’s almost time for round two between Michigan vs. Michigan State on Tuesday night. It’s yet another huge game in the Big Ten — and the predictions and Vegas odds mean fans can expect a close game.

The last time the two teams played, then-No. 10 Michigan State cruised to an 83-67 win over Michigan. But things are different this time around. Wolverines coach Juwan Howard is suspended the rest of the year and the now-unranked Spartans defeated Purdue on Saturday to snap a rough skid.

Here’s how you can watch the big showdown and what the experts think will happen at the Breslin Center.

How to watch Michigan at Michigan State

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET

Location: Breslin Center

Network: FS1

Vegas odds

According to VegasInsider, Michigan is a 4.5-point road favorite over Michigan State. The over/under for the game is 142.5.

ESPN BPI prediction

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) measures team strength and predicts future performances across the sport. The BPI prediction from ESPN has Michigan with a 63.8% win probability and ranks it as the second-highest quality matchup of the Tuesday slate.

Projected winner: Michigan

Predicted point differential: 3.5

Matchup Quality: 88.7

KenPom prediction

KenPom is another tool used to predict and project college basketball results. It projects Michigan to pick up a big road Big Ten victory.

Predicted winner: Michigan

Predicted final score: Michigan 73, Michigan State 70

Win probability (for Michigan): 61%

Tyson Walker’s last-second shot sends Michigan State to upset of No. 4 Purdue

Michigan State’s last game was crazy, and it ended with the biggest shot of Tyson Walker‘s career.

Walker pulled up from three-point distance and drained the shot to send the Spartans past No. 4 Purdue 68-65 at the Breslin Center on Saturday. The lost snapped a three-game losing streak for Michigan State — and seriously impacted Purdue’s chances for a Big Ten title.

Michigan State saw a 10-point lead dwindle to two points by halftime, but remained in control of the game throughout the second half. Four Spartans scored in double figures to lead the effort on offense, but the story was the defense. Two Boilermakers — Zach Edey and Jaden Ivey — combined for 41 of Purdue’s 65 points, and Michigan State coach Tom Izzo said the goal was to take away Purdue’s three-point shot. The Spartans did just that, holding the Boilermakers to just 1-for-9 shooting from outside.

Even though Edey dominated down low, Michigan State did enough work elsewhere on defense to make up for it. It also kept the Spartans in the race for the Big Ten title — and made Purdue’s road to a title that much tougher.