Michigan vs. Michigan State odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Wolverines, Spartans

Michigan hits the road to take on Michigan State Tuesday in a Big Ten showdown and the latest odds were revealed for the matchup.

It’s been a rough season for the Wolverines (7-13) and head coach Juwan Howard. Once he returned to the sidelines, it didn’t get much better. Meanwhile, Tom Izzo and the Spartans (12-8) have had their moments, but haven’t looked like a national title contender.

Going into the final third of the season, every game means more. Let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for Michigan-Michigan State.

Odds for Michigan vs. Michigan State

The Spartans are an 11.5 point favorite at home against its in-state rival, according to FanDuel. The Spartans are also a big favorite on the moneyline, sitting at -820. If you want to be the Wolverines, their odds are +550.

As far as the total is concerned, the oddsmakers consider it to be a high scoring game. The total for Tuesday night is 145.5.

Final score predictions for Michigan vs. Michigan State

BPI Predicted winner: Michigan State
BPI Predicted point differential: 12.7 
BPI Win probability (for Michigan State): 88.2%
BPI Matchup Quality: 72.9

Based on ESPN’s metric, Michigan State is the overwhelming favorite. ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Going into this one, BPI has the Spartans at a near 90% chance to win and is a bigger favorite than the FanDuel odds.

The matchup quality is almost at 73, which ranks No. 11 overall during the Tuesday night slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: MSU wins 78-68
KenPom Win probability (for Michigan State): 83%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric agrees that the Spartans will win by double digits over the Wolverines. 

How to watch Michigan vs. Michigan State

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: Peacock/FuboTV (streaming)
Location: East Lansing (Mich.)

The Wolverines and Spartans tip off in East Lansing in a late night tilt at 9:00 p.m. ET. However, you can watch the game on Peacock streaming or FuboTV.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

If you want to a free trial to watch Michigan and Michigan State, click on the link above.