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Michigan vs. Michigan State: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax01/07/23

BarkleyTruax

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(Grau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Saturday will play host to the 191st meeting between the Michigan Wolverines (9-5) and Michigan State Spartans (10-4) basketball programs. Here’s all you need to know, including odds, how to watch, and multiple predictions heading into the big-time rivalry matchup.

How to watch Michigan vs. Michigan State

Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET

Location: East Lansing, Michigan

Channel: FOX

Vegas odds

Michigan State is a 4.5-point favorite over Michigan on Saturday, according to VegasInsider. The over-under is set at 139.5 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Michigan State

Predicted point differential: 5.4

The win probability (for Michigan State): 70.1%

Matchup quality: 75.7

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN’s BPI has Michigan vs Michigan State ranked as the 18th highest-rated game on Thursday’s slate in terms of matchup quality.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Michigan State 72, Michigan 68

The win probability (for Michigan State): 63%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Michigan State comes away with a victory over Michigan.

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More on Michigan vs. Michigan State

Michigan State is riding a six-game win streak heading into Saturday. They haven’t lost a game since Dec. 4 – and are playing their strongest basketball of the season right now. The Spartans have a 70.1 percent chance of winning, per the ESPN Matchup Predictor.

The Wolverines aren’t a team that you can overlook, though. They’ve strung together three-straight wins since losing to North Carolina back on Dec. 21. Michigan will have to lean heavily on star 7-footer Hunter Dickinson, who’s averaging 18.7 points and 8.3 rebounds per game this season.

Amid a huge day of college basketball action, the bi-annual matchup between the Wolverines and Spartans will always be at the forefront.