Mississippi State vs. Auburn: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Auburn looks to improve to 4-1 in conference play as they defend their home court against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday night. Here is everything you need to know ahead of the SEC matchup.

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Auburn

Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET

Location: Auburn, Alabama

Channel: SEC Network

Vegas odds

Auburn is an 8.5-point favorite over Mississippi State on Saturday, according to VegasInsider. The over-under is set at 128.5 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Auburn

Predicted point differential: 6.9

Win probability (for Auburn): 75.5%

Matchup quality: 78.4

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN’s BPI has Auburn vs Mississippi State ranked as the No. 16 highest-rated game on Saturday’s slate in terms of matchup quality.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Auburn 65, Mississippi State 58

Win probability (for Auburn): 73%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Like ESPN, KenPom projects that Auburn comes away with a victory over Mississippi State.

More on Mississippi State vs. Auburn

Auburn defends its 27-game home win streak Saturday night against Mississippi State – a team that had an incredibly hot start to its season, but has found itself struggling to get over the hump against their SEC opponents.

The Tigers’ incredible track record at home has earned them the second-longest active win streak in the nation. The impressive stat began in February 2021.

“It’s definitely a boost playing at home,” senior Allen Flanigan said. “The Jungle, the crowd, the atmosphere here in the arena – it’s amazing. Anytime a team has to come in here and play us, it makes it 10 times harder.”

Despite a 11-1 nonconference record heading into confernce play, the Bulldogs are tied for second to last in the current SEC standings. Auburn is slated at No. 4 in the conference, the highest-rated team not undefeated in conference play with one loss – a loss to Georgia in Athens.