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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Bulldogs, Rebels

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison01/30/24

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Petre Thomas | USA TODAY Sports

Mississippi State and Ole Miss are getting ready to renew their rivalry on the hardwood Tuesday night. In this key SEC conference game, both teams are going to try and separate from the middle of the conference standings pack.

Ole Miss enters the game 17-3 on the season but just 4-3 in SEC play. That includes a two-game winning streak as the team has adjusted to conference play. Mississippi State, meanwhile, is 14-6 and 3-4 in conference play to this point, winning two of its last three games.

Ahead of the game, here is a look at the odds, win probability, and final score predictions for Mississippi State’s trip to Ole Miss.

Odds for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

Ole Miss comes into the game as a 1.5-point favorite over Mississippi State, per FanDuel. Ole Miss is also currently listed at -118 for the moneyline, compared to -102 for the Bulldogs.

The point total for the game is currently set at 137.5 points. In three of the last four games for Ole Miss, that point total was exceeded while the Bulldogs have gone under that number in two of their last three games.

Final score predictions for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

BPI Predicted winner: Mississippi State
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.1
BPI Win probability (for MSU): 50.6 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Interestingly, it has a slight disagreement with Vegas about this game, projecting Mississippi State in a very close matchup. BPI is projecting a point differential of just 0.1 points in the Bulldogs’ favor. It also gives the Bulldogs a 50.6 percent chance to win the game.

BPI is giving this game a matchup quality score of 88.6, which is the third-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Ole Miss 71, Mississippi State 70
KenPom Win probability (for Ole Miss): 50 percent

KenPom, like BPI, is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given point of the season, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Mississippi State and Ole Miss, KenPom is predicting a very close win for Ole Miss.

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Oxford, MS

Mississippi State and Ole Miss are set to tip-off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday night. Scheduled to take place at SJB Pavilion in Oxford, this is a home game for Ole Miss in what has become an exciting season for the program.

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Fans who aren’t able to make it to Oxford are going to be able to watch the game on the SEC Network. If fans need a streaming option, the game will be available on FuboTV.