Florida vs. Missouri odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Gators, Tigers

Florida and Missouri will meet Saturday night in Columbia with both teams really needing a win. The Gators are 11-6 (1-3) entering the SEC matchup, while Missouri is 8-9 (0-4).

There is still time for the teams to go on a run and potentially make the NCAA Tournament, but they can’t afford to drop many more games before doing so. Saturday’s game will be the first of two meetings between the programs this season. They will also play Feb. 28 in Gainesville.

While both teams have struggled lately, Florida has shown a little more life. The Gators dropped a close game to Kentucky a couple of weeks back and blew out Arkansas last Saturday. There aren’t as many positives at Missouri, where the Tigers have gone 1-7 in their past eight games with only a win over Central Arkansas.

Odds for Florida vs. Missouri

Vegas is expecting a close game between Florida and Missouri on Saturday. The Gators are favored by 3.5 points, according to FanDuel.

The over-under for the game is set at 160.5. This could be a game where whichever team reaches 80 points first will come out on top.

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Missouri

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.3
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 58.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting Florida to win by about 2 points. It also gives the Gators a 58.3 percent chance to come out on top against the Tigers.

BPI gives this game a matchup quality score of 83.7. While BPI agrees with Vegas about the winner, it does expect a closer game than FanDuel does.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 81, Missouri 78
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 61 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

For this game between Florida and Missouri, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting Florida to win. It also has almost the exact same projected score as FanDuel.

How to watch Florida vs. Missouri

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPNU, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Columbia (Mo.)

Florida and Missouri are set to tip off at 8 p.m. at Mizzou Arena in Columbia. This should be a competitive game throughout as all metrics are predicting a close contest.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans

The game will be televised by ESPNU. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.