Skip to main content

Oklahoma vs. Baylor: Odds, final score predictions from ESPN, KenPom

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra03/10/22

SamraSource

On3 image
Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

The Oklahoma Sooners (17-14) take on the No. 3 Baylor Bears (26-5) in the Quarterfinal of the Big 12 Tournament on Thursday at 7:00 p.m. ET. Here’s how to watch, odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of Thursday’s Big 12 clash.

How to watch Oklahoma vs. No. 3 Baylor

Time: 7:00 PM ET

Channel: ESPN

Location: T-Mobile Center — Kansas City, Missouri

Odds

Baylor is an 8-point favorite over Oklahoma on Thursday, according to Vegas Insider.

Money line: Baylor -385, Oklahoma +291

Spread: Baylor -8, -109, Oklahoma +8, –114

Total: Over/Under 135.5, -110

Check out the rest of Vegas’ odds for Thursday’s slate here.

ESPN BPI Predictions 

Matchup quality: 82.5%

Win probability: Baylor, 81.6%

Predicted point differential: 9.3

The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. 

Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily,’ per ESPN.

For the rest of ESPN’s BPI predictions, click here.

KenPom Predictions

Score prediction: Baylor 73, Oklahoma 65

Win probability: Baylor, 76%

Check out the rest of KenPom’s predictions for Oklahoma vs. No. 3 Baylor, and the rest of college basketball here.

KenPom’s Big 12 Tournament Projection

No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks: The Jayhawks have a 30% chance to win the championship, a 54.7% chance to make the championship game and an 81.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 2 Baylor Bears: The Bears have a 29% chance to win the championship, a 48% chance to make the championship game and a 76.3% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders: The Red Raiders have an 18.9% chance to win the championship, a 35.3% chance to make the championship game and a 71.3% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 4 Texas Longhorns: The Longhorns have a 11.9% chance to win the championship, a 28.1% chance to make the championship game and a 61.4% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 5 TCU Horned Frogs: The Horned Frogs have a 3.2% chance to win the championship, a 10.8% chance to make the championship game and a 35.9% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones: The Cyclones have a 2.7% chance to win the championship, an 8.4% chance to make the championship game and a 28.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners: The Sooners have a 2.8% chance to win the championship, an 8.4% chance to make the championship game and a 23.7% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 8 Kansas State Wildcats: The Wildcats have a 0.9% chance to win the championship, a 3.7% chance to make the championship game and a 10.5% chance to make the semifinals.

No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers: The Mountaineers have a 0.6% chance to win the championship, a 2.7% chance to make the championship game and an 8.1% chance to make the semifinals.