Ole Miss vs. Auburn odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Rebels, Tigers

No. 22 Ole Miss travels to No. 13 Auburn on Saturday for an SEC main even featuring the only ranked matchup in the conference this weekend.

Both sitting at 15-2, Auburn is one of two unbeaten teams in conference action. Ole Miss, 2-2 in SEC play, has suffered its only two losses of the season by conference opponents. Meanwhile, Auburn hasn’t lost a game since Dec. 3 in a 69-64 upset against Appalachian State.

Still, first-year Rebels head coach Chris Beard has already eclipsed Ole Miss’ win total from one season ago, and a win on Saturday will solidify his squad as one to be reckoned with in the league in 2024.

Odds for Ole Miss vs. Auburn

Coming into the game, Auburn is an 11.5-point favorite over Ole Miss, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Tigers are currently listed at -800 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Rebels are sitting at +540. 

The point total for the game is set at 152.5 points. Auburn comes into the game averaging 83.4 points per game, fourth in the SEC, while Ole Miss averages 77.8. Combined to equal 161.2 points per game, Saturday’s ranked SEC battle has the potential to be a one of the conference’s most high-scoring matchups of the afternoon.

Final score predictions for Ole Miss vs. Auburn

BPI Predicted winner: Auburn
BPI Predicted point differential: 12.2
BPI Win probability (for Auburn): 92.0 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 75.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 12.2 points in Auburn’s favor. It also gives the Tigers a 92.0 percent chance to win the game over the Rebels at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 75.3, which ranks outside of the top 25 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 84, Ole Miss 70
KenPom Win probability (for Auburn): 90 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Auburn and Ole Miss, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Rebels to lose by roughly a dozen points. 

How to watch Ole Miss vs. Auburn

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Neville Arena – Auburn, Alabama

The opening tip between the Tigers and Rebels is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET and will air live on the SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.