All-American Bowl On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine projections

Following the three commitments during Sunday’s Under Armour All-American Bowl, just a handful of the country’s top 2022 prospects have yet to publicly announce where they are going. Ten more are expected to announce at this weekend’s All-American Bowl in San Antonio. Each ranks among the top 300 nationally, according to the On3 Consensus, a complete and equally weighted industry-generated average that utilizes all four major recruiting media companies.

And while none have given any public hints about where they will pledge to, the On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine (RPM) has current projections for each of the 10.

RPM was released to the public last month. The On3 engineering group teamed up with Spiny.ai to create the industry’s first algorithm and machine learning-based product to predict where athletes will attend college. 

It factors in machine learning, expert predictions, social sentiment, visits, and historical trends. However, expert predictions are still a big piece of the RPM equation.

2022 All-American Bowl Roster HERE

4-star IOL Earnest Greene

Background: Bellflower (Calif.) St. John Bosco
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 60
RPM Prediction: 51.4% for Georgia, 45.1% for Alabama
The Skinny: Ohio State and Texas are both in Earnest Greene‘s top schools list, but this one appears to be a two-team race between Georgia and Alabama. The two programs are set to face off in the CFP National Championship next Monday, but two days before they will battle it out for Greene. Alabama was considered the leader as late as last week, but the RPM has flipped and gives Georgia the slight edge to land him.

4-star WR Kevin Coleman

Background: St. Louis (Mo.) St. Mary’s
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 71
RPM Prediction: Miami (85.5%)
The Skinny: Kevin Coleman has led a winding recruitment over the past year, but it appears Miami has all of the late momentum after entering the race a few weeks ago. Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal recruited Coleman at Oregon and quickly pitched him on coming to Miami once he made the move. Florida State, USC and Oregon were all in it at one point, but the relationship with Cristobal appears to be paying off.

4-star EDGE Cyrus Moss

Background: Las Vegas (Nev.) Bishop Gorman
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 83
RPM Prediction: 46.4% for USC, 38.9% for Oregon, 12.1% for Miami
The Skinny: No prospect has had his recruitment shaken up by the coaching carousel more than Cyrus Moss. The four-star EDGE was down to a top three of Alabama, Arizona State, and Oregon in late November. After Lincoln Riley moved from Oklahoma to USC and Cristobal bolted Oregon for Miami, Moss’ list changed. He took a cross-country weekend trip where he saw both USC and Miami, and new Ducks head coach Dan Lanning has made a push as well. The Trojans have a slight lead in the RPM, but it wouldn’t be a shock to see him end up at any of the three schools.

4-star WR C.J. Williams

Background: Santa Ana (Calif.) Mater Dei
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 117
RPM Prediction: USC (88.1%)
The Skinny: Even prior to Brian Kelly departing for LSU, C.J. Williams had his eye on USC. The Trojans’ previous staff under Clay Helton had recruited him, but the lack of established culture led him to commit to Notre Dame. When USC hired Lincoln Riley, that changed almost immediately. Williams visited the Trojans during the final weekend before the Early Signing Period, and all signs point to him staying home.

4-star DL Hero Kanu

Background: Rancho Santa Margarita (Calif.) Catholic
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 125
RPM Prediction: Ohio State (98.1%)
The Skinny: A number of schools have been involved with Hero Kanu, but one has remained constant: Ohio State. The Buckeyes have received three visits since June, the most of any program recruiting him. Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Georgia and LSU have been in the mix, but OSU is the overwhelming favorite to add him on Jan. 8.

4-star S Davison Igbinosun

Background: Union (N.J.)
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 193
RPM Prediction: Ole Miss (98.0%)
The Skinny: Few things are sure in recruiting, but according to the RPM, Davison Igbinosun is headed to Ole Miss. The Rebels have a 98 percent chance to land him. Tennessee, Kentucky, and Rutgers, where he was previously committed, have all made a run at him. But his visit earlier this fall and another trip this winter, where he posted these photos with Lane Kiffin, appear to have sealed the deal.

4-star S Larry Turner-Gooden

Background: Playa Del Ray (Calif.) Bishop Alemany
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 245
RPM Prediction: Texas (85.8%)
The Skinny: Larry Turner-Gooden was committed to Arizona State from February until September, when he took an official visit to Penn State. A few days after that trip, he opened up his recruitment and drew interest from a number of programs. But Texas has been the one standout for some time now. The four-star safety also took official visits to Maryland and Colorado, but the RPM has the Longhorns as the heavy favorite to add to their top-five class.

4-star LB Daniel Martin

Background: Marietta (Ga.)
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 258
RPM Prediction: Vanderbilt (93.9%)
The Skinny: Daniel Martin has led a very quiet recruitment, and for that reason, it’s been hard to pin down where he might end up committing. Oregon, Florida State and Vanderbilt are his finalists, but it’s the Commodores who have the lead, according to the RPM. Head coach Clark Lea has made it a point to upgrade Vandy’s talent, and landing a prospect like Martin over the Seminoles and Ducks would be a huge statement.

4-star RB Rayshon Luke

Background: Bellflower (Calif.) St. John Bosco
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 275
RPM Prediction: 55.3% for Louisville, 42% for Arizona
The Skinny: St. John Bosco is a national power loaded with talent, and Rayshon Luke will be their second prospect to commit during the All-American Bowl. Arizona and Louisville, which he visited right before the Early Signing Period, are the two programs in contention to get him. The Cardinals hold a slight lead, but neither would be a surprise.

4-star RB Trevor Etienne

Background: Jennings (La.)
On3 Consensus Ranking: No. 290
RPM Prediction: Florida (87.4%)
The Skinny: The younger brother of former Clemson star Travis Etienne, four-star Trevor Etienne was largely expected to be a Tiger. But Florida has been in the race for a while now, and new head coach Billy Napier had made him a huge priority since taking over. The RPM lists the Gators as the overwhelming favorites, and it would be a huge surprise to see him commit anywhere else at this point.