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Purdue vs. Michigan State: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko01/16/23

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(Photo by Zach Bolinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

No. 3 Purdue (16-1, 5-1) and Michigan State (12-5, 4-2) square off Monday afternoon in a Big Ten contest. Ahead of the game, which will be broadcast live on FOX, predictions and betting odds – including KenPom analytics – are rolling in.

How to watch Purdue vs. Michigan State

Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET

Location: East Lansing (Mich.)

Channel: FOX

Vegas Odds

Purdue is a 2.5 point favorite over Michigan State Monday, according to the odds at VegasInsider. The total is set at 133.5

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Purdue

Predicted point differential: 4

Win probability Purdue: 66.4%

Matchup quality: 87.2

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. This game between the two Big Ten powers is the top rated game of the day.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Purdue wins 69-65

Win probability for Purdue: 63%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Here, it’s very similar to ESPN in terms of the point differential. But Purdue is still the road favorite.

More on Purdue vs. Michigan State

Michigan State is well aware of Purdue’s Zach Edey and the Spartans will likely use Mady Sissoko to guard him throughout the contest.

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“Sissoko is a guy that has really improved,” Purdue coach Matt Painter said in an interview with GoldandBlackIllustrated.com.  “You’ve seen a couple of games where offensively he is just more in the flow of things. He is just better. He is improved. He is a tough defender.”

The Boilermakers will have a hostile environment Monday and despite being a top-three team in the country, Fletcher Loyer and others don’t want to take the Spartans lightly.

“It’s having a chip on our shoulder,” Loyer said. “We go into every away game thinking they are going to bring their best, which they will. We like to keep the fans quiet a bit, go out there and play harder than them and show them what we are.”

The bench could also be a huge factor, despite the stats not quite reflecting all-star numbers.

“People aren’t going to have great numbers when they don’t have consistency with their minutes,” Painter said. “But what is your real ability? Can you shoot or not? (Michigan State) knows our players from high school. They know our guys from previous years.”