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Phil Steele predicts final rankings in 2023 SEC forecast

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko08/15/23

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(Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

College football analyst Phil Steele predicted the final rankings in 2023 for the SEC and there aren’t too many surprises at the top. But, there could be some interesting division races ahead of the conference title game.

Two-time defending national champion Georgia is the favorite, but don’t forget about powers like Alabama, LSU and Tennessee.

Below are the projections in the SEC from Steele and where each team will end up in each division this season.

WEST

1. Alabama

TUSCALOOSA, ALABAMA – OCTOBER 08: Head coach Nick Saban of the Alabama Crimson Tide leads the team onto the field prior to facing the Texas A&M Aggies at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 08, 2022 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Alabama returns to the top of the mountain, at least in the west division. The Crimson Tide still have a quarterback competition to figure out though.

But nonetheless, last year’s miss of a division title and CFP appearance probably stings. Alabama doesn’t want LSU to win this thing two years in a row do they?

2. LSU

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – DECEMBER 03: Head coach Brian Kelly of the LSU Tigers looks on prior to the SEC Championship against the Georgia Bulldogs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 03, 2022 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

LSU is a bonafide College Football Playoff contender this year. Brian Kelly was able to rebuild this thing fast once he came over from Notre Dame.

Jayden Daniels and Harold Perkins are the two stars on the opposite side of the ball. With leaders like that, LSU could certainly upend the Crimson Tide again.

3. Texas A&M

COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS – NOVEMBER 05: Head coach Jimbo Fisher of the Texas A&M Aggies calls a play in the first quarter against the Florida Gators at Kyle Field on November 05, 2022 in College Station, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)

It always feels like Texas A&M can finally break through but then the Aggies don’t. Maybe 2023 is the year?

Conner Weigman at quarterback is a good sign. Jimbo Fisher has one of the more talented signal callers he’s had in his career. Still, it’s a rough division.

4. Ole Miss

COLLEGE STATION, TX – OCTOBER 29: Ole Miss Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin (right) chats with QB Jaxson Dart (2) during game featuring the Ole Miss Rebels and the Texas A&M Aggies on October 29, 2022 at Kyle Field in College Station, TX. (Photo by John Rivera/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Ole Miss is a high quality football team but only projected fourth in its division. That means this team could win roughly nine games, be ranked and be the middle of the pack in the West. Yikes.

Quinshon Judkins is the offensive star and should help probable starting quarterback Jaxson Dart. Heck, the Rebels might have a Heisman contender right in their own backfield.

5. Arkansas

FAYETTEVILLE, ARKANSAS – NOVEMBER 19: Head Coach Sam Pittman of the Arkansas Razorbacks on the field after a game against the Mississippi Rebels at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on November 19, 2022 in Fayetteville, Arkansas. The Razorbacks defeated the Rebels 42-27. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Arkansas is another intriguing team that could be really good anywhere else. But in the SEC West, the Razorbacks are only good enough for fifth in the division, per Steele.

KJ Jefferson and Raheim Sanders are a great one-two punch in the backfield at quarterback and running back. But can Arkansas really surprise people this season? To-be-determined.

6. Auburn

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – JULY 18: Head Coach Hugh Freeze of the Auburn Tigers speaks during Day 2 of the 2023 SEC Media Days at Grand Hyatt Nashville on July 18, 2023 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Johnnie Izquierdo/Getty Images)

Auburn starts Year 1 of the Hugh Freeze era after a disastrous two seasons with Bryan Harsin, by Tigers’ standards.

Cadillac Williams remained on staff, which might have been the biggest retention anywhere. He’s really a player’s coach. It’ll be interesting to see if Freeze can make do on his second chance in the conference.

7. Mississippi State

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 02: Mississippi State Bulldogs head coach Zach Arnett cheers his team on during the ReliaQuest Bowl college football game against the Illinois Fighting Illini at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa FL on January 2, 2023. (Photo by Chris Leduc/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Zach Arnett took over the program due to the unfortunate passing of head coach Mike Leach. It’s a bit of a rebuilding job for the Bulldogs as well.

However, Mississippi State should be a competitive team this season. It just remains to be seen if the Bulldogs can get out of the division basement. 

EAST

1. Georgia

ATLANTA, GA – MAY 23: University of Georgia football head coach Kirby Smart watches batting practice before a game between the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Truist Park on May 23, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images)

The two-time defending champions are the favorites once again. It’d be pretty silly to pick against the Bulldogs winning the division once again and playing for a conference title.

Sure, Georgia could get upset by one of the next couple of teams in the rankings. But, as Steele ranked them, we’re counting on the Bulldogs to be top dog again.

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2. Tennessee

MIAMI GARDENS, FL – DECEMBER 30: Head coach Josh Heupel and Joe Milton III #7 of the Tennessee Volunteers at the award ceremony after defeating the Clemson Tigers 31-14 at the Capital One Orange Bowl on December 30, 2022 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images)

Tennessee has a new quarterback in Joe Milton and plenty of talent. But certainly, the Volunteers have big expectations to be the team to finally knock off Georgia in the SEC.

Josh Heupel can push all the right buttons and it still might be enough to beat Georgia. However, the Volunteers seemingly have the best shot.

3. South Carolina

JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA – DECEMBER 30: head coach Shane Beamer of the South Carolina Gamecocks reacts during the second half of the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at TIAA Bank Field on December 30, 2022 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images)

The Gamecocks continually rose up the SEC ranks under Shane Beamer over the last couple of years. With some recruiting wins as well, South Carolina looks legit.

Spencer Rattler is in his final season of college football but this could be the best version of the quarterback. Will it be enough to pull off some stunners this year?

4. Kentucky

LEXINGTON, KY – SEPTEMBER 03: Head coach Mark Stoops of the Kentucky Wildcats is seen during the game against the Miami (Oh) Redhawks at Kroger Field on September 3, 2022 in Lexington, Kentucky. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Kentucky is a solid program year in and year out. Mark Stoops knows what he’s doing but will it translate to a division title?

It’s a tough hill to climb with the three teams mentioned above. But maybe the Wildcats can make people forget it’s a basketball school for a couple of months and do some damage against the SEC powers.

5. Florida

GAINESVILLE, FL – APRIL 13: Florida Gators head coach Billy Napier Florida Gators head coach looks on during the Florida Gators Orange and Blue Game on April 13, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field in Gainesville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Florida is looking better and better this offseason with Billy Napier getting some solid wins on the recruiting trail. The quarterback situation is also settled at this point with Graham Mertz being named the starter.

But six wins is not acceptable in Year 2. Year 1? Maybe. But the Gator fanbase wants SEC titles and College Football Playoff appearances. You know, relive the recent glory days.

6. Missouri

COLUMBIA, MO – OCTOBER 01: Missouri Tigers head coach Eli Drinkwitz argues for a pass interference call in the third quarter of an SEC game between the Georgia Bulldogs and Missouri Tigers on October 1, 2022 at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field in Columbia, MO. Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Missouri is quietly building something with some solid recruiting wins. Eli Drinkwitz just needs to translate that to more wins on the field.

Bowl games are fine, but Drinkwitz has a chance to take Mizzou on an upward trend. But finishing sixth in the division won’t exactly cut it.

7. Vanderbilt

NASHVILLE, VA – OCTOBER 08: Vanderbilt Commodores head coach Clark Lea stands amongst his team to sing Vanderbilt Universitys alma mater following a game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and Mississippi Rebels, October 8, 2022 at FirstBank Stadium, in Nashville, Tennessee. Photo by Matthew Maxey/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Clark Lea has an upward battle at Vanderbilt, which was easily a bottom rung team in the SEC. But the Commodores were respectable last season.

Now, that could translate to more success on the field this coming season. Lea instills a lot of toughness into his groups, given his defensive background.

Is this exactly how the SEC will end up in 2023? Maybe, Steele has some good intel. But that’s why they play the game and we could certainly see some surprises in the SEC.