Texas A&M vs. LSU: Win probability, final score prediction for Aggies, Tigers

Texas A&M and LSU will meet for the second time this season on Saturday, Jan. 20 in a key SEC game. The Tigers earned an impressive 15-point road win over the Aggies earlier this month and enter Saturday’s showdown with some momentum, having won five of their past six games.

Meanwhile, the Aggies are in desperate need of a win after struggling at the start of SEC play. Texas A&M is off to a 1-3 start in the league and is coming off of a heartbreaking one-point loss at Arkansas.

LSU will look to continue its momentum Saturday afternoon in Baton Rouge, while Texas A&M will try to halt its skid and earn a critical win. Here’s a look at what you need to know ahead of the matchup:

Odds for Texas A&M vs. LSU

Despite LSU entering the game with more momentum and already having earned a win at Texas A&M, the Aggies are 2.5-point road favorites entering the matchup, according to FanDuel. That isn’t a huge surprise as Texas A&M has gotten healthier as of late.

With that said, the Aggies are 2-3 on the road this season. That includes an 0-2 mark in SEC play. The over-under for the game is 151.5.

Final score predictions for Texas A&M vs. LSU

BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.8
BPI Win probability (for Texas A&M): 60.4 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 86.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting Texas A&M to win by about 3 points. It also gives the Aggies a 60.4 percent chance to come out on top against the Tigers.

BPI gives this game a matchup quality score of 86.3. That number ranks No. 11 for all games on Saturday.

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 74, LSU 73
KenPom Win probability (for Texas A&M): 55 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

For this game between Texas A&M and LSU, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting Texas A&M to win. However, KenPom sees a closer game, with the Aggies only winning by one point. It also gives LSU a better chance of winning than BPI or Vegas.

How to watch Texas A&M vs. LSU

Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPNU, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Baton Rouge (La.)

Texas A&M and LSU are set to tip off at 4 p.m. at Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge. This should be a competitive game throughout as all metrics are predicting a close contest.

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The game will be televised by ESPNU. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.