2024 Phillies Thread

MrTailgate

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Oct 19, 2021
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Lots of work left and some big decisions for Topper to make-

1- The #1 seed will be a fight to the last weekend given that the Dodgers have a pretty light schedule. The Phillies will have to play on if they covet the #1 seed. It’s going to be a fight.

2- Arguably, the biggest decision Topper will make will be the pitching order. You would think it’s Wheels, Nola, and Sanchez but Sanchez has upside down home and away park numbers and putting Sanchez #2 splits up the RHP’s and puts Sanchez as a game 2 home starter. Given Nola’s place in the org, I think its hard to imagine they push Nola to #3 but this is a big decision.

3- The second big decision is the batting order behind Bryce. There was no way that Bohm wasn’t going to hit behind Harper but all of a sudden Nick is comfortable and productive since Bohm went down. Topper has another big decision coming here.

4- Marsh has had a nice run and Topper‘s last big decision is whether he just goes Marsh and Hays or does he try to max matchups with a platoon or maybe Rojas just late for D.

5- The pen pieces look set with Matt/Kerkering/Hoffman/Estevez. Until last night, Alvarado was rebounding. They are set. When they go 4, Ranger will fill the bill and hopefully he continues to work back.

The marathon finish line is coming over the horizon and then the fun starts. Let’s end this thing in a dogpile.
 

rudedude

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Oct 6, 2021
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Brutal call by the ump, and brutal review by MLB




I fully believe betting is influencing calls in games in the field and behind the plate. Friggin ridiculous not being overturned and Phillies should really ***** about this.
 

NittPicker

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Oct 7, 2021
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I'm not a Braves fan but I do respect them being a well-run organization which fields a playoff caliber team every season. I can't say the same about the shitshow from Queens. It's usually a circus up there.

The Braves have a three game series this weekend against the Marlins while the Mets have four against the Phils. If the Phils and Braves wins their respective weekend series, it sets up a big mid-week series between the Braves and Mets. That could very well settle the playoff battle. It'll be fun to watch as a neutral observer who wants the Mets to flame out.
 
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Grant Green

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Oct 12, 2021
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I fully believe betting is influencing calls in games in the field and behind the plate. Friggin ridiculous not being overturned and Phillies should really ***** about this.
Doubtful. Sportsbooks are very tuned into fixing. They can pick up on betting patterns to spot foul play - kind of like catching card counters. Fixing games is very much not in the Sportsbooks interest. If people are going to fix games, it's more likely to happen in events that aren't getting a lot of attention. I'll let @Erial_Lion weigh in.
 

CoolBean

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Sep 20, 2021
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We are in the 5th, can Nola make it through?

He did but gave up a HR
 
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Erial_Lion

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Nov 1, 2021
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Doubtful. Sportsbooks are very tuned into fixing. They can pick up on betting patterns to spot foul play - kind of like catching card counters. Fixing games is very much not in the Sportsbooks interest. If people are going to fix games, it's more likely to happen in events that aren't getting a lot of attention. I'll let @Erial_Lion weigh in.
It’s still very possible to have people in on a fix, but legalizing things have made it exponentially easier to catch. People think that DraftKings (and their competitors) gaining market share is a bad thing, while in fact they’re the ones equipped to catch this stuff. Bet it offshore or with a corner bookie and you can get away with it much more easily.

However, the odds of an MLB ump trying to fix stuff is incredibly low, since they’re making more in salary than the edge that they’d gain. Would the second base ump really “fix” the game when there is video review and it’s takes an incredibly close play to be able to potentially impact this one call in the game? It’s just not logical.
 
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rudedude

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Oct 6, 2021
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It’s still very possible to have people in on a fix, but legalizing things have made it exponentially easier to catch. People think that DraftKings (and their competitors) gaining market share is a bad thing, while in fact they’re the ones equipped to catch this stuff. Bet it offshore or with a corner bookie and you can get away with it much more easily.

However, the odds of an MLB ump trying to fix stuff is incredibly low, since they’re making more in salary than the edge that they’d gain. Would the second base ump really “fix” the game when there is video review and it’s takes an incredibly close play to be able to potentially impact this one call in the game? It’s just not logical.
I think the issue with this particular play was that even the video review showed he wasn’t tagged yet the upheld the incorrect call made on the field. Umps have no accountability.
 
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BrianS

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Oct 31, 2021
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Phils are up 7 games on the Mets with 10 to play. Split the 4 game series in NY and the Division is ours! Walker, Sanchez, Suarez, and Wheeler are the pitchers for the Mets series.
 

Erial_Lion

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I think the issue with this particular play was that even the video review showed he wasn’t tagged yet the upheld the incorrect call made on the field. Umps have no accountability.
Personally, I think that's a really tough one. I see potential tag on the right hand almost simultaneously (maybe even just before) as the runner gets to the base. Can't tell from either angle if he definitely got him. I can easily see why they didn't overturn it. I think he was most likely safe, but the standard to overturn is higher than that.

And video review must be working really well if that's potentially the "worst call of the MLB season".
 
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