'25-'26 PSU Lineup Predictions thread

psu0408

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Assuming no injuries, PSU can start Davis/Nagao, redshirt Blaze, Ono and Duke and still win the NC without any real competition. Doing so would add an extra year of firepower as OK St continues its development as a future NC contender. Next year, send Mesenbrink to 74 and it opens up the lineup for Duke/Kasak to start at 57/65.
 
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BriantheLion

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Who said recover from head injuries? Malpractice? It’s a good time for Kasak to take his shirt and prep for a possible bounce to 174 in 26/27. MM is not moving and Duke is as good as it gets at 57, period, with no offense to TK.
To my understanding, it’s likely that PJD will outgrow 157 in short order, so he may get this year there while TK redshirts, then PJD redshirts the next season before returning at 165 after MM is out of eligibility… TK will return at 157, which is already two weight classes over his projected freshman weight.
 

Random4598375

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Assuming no injuries, PSU can start Davis/Nagao, redshirt Blaze, Ono and Duke and still win the NC without any real competition. Doing so would add an extra year of firepower as OK St continues its development as a future NC contender. Next year, send Mesenbrink to 74 and it opens up the lineup for Duke/Kasak to start at 57/65.
I doubt MM is going to go to 174 unless 165 becomes too tough of a cut for him to hold. Mitch's eyes should be on Olympic gold, so I'd think he'd want to maintain as close to 74 kgs as possible.
 

Random4598375

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My prediction for the lineup:

125 Lilledahl
133 Blaze
141 Ono
149 SVN
157 Kasak
165 MM
174 Levi
184 Rocco
197 Barr
HWT Cole

Obviously, it's difficult to fathom a lineup that guys like Duke, Sealey, Davis, Nagao, and Conner can't make so I won't be surprised if any of those guys are eventually in, but someone has to be left out when there are at least 16 AA or title contenders on the roster and only 10 lineup spots. I think they will eventually convinced Duke to RS, and I think Ono will want to wrestle and neither Nagao nor Davis will keep him out of the lineup.
 

vhsalum1

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My prediction for the lineup:

125 Lilledahl
133 Blaze
141 Ono
149 SVN
157 Kasak
165 MM
174 Levi
184 Rocco
197 Barr
HWT Cole

Obviously, it's difficult to fathom a lineup that guys like Duke, Sealey, Davis, Nagao, and Conner can't make so I won't be surprised if any of those guys are eventually in, but someone has to be left out when there are at least 16 AA or title contenders on the roster and only 10 lineup spots. I think they will eventually convinced Duke to RS, and I think Ono will want to wrestle and neither Nagao nor Davis will keep him out of the lineup.
Duke has to go this year...

There's just no way he's making 157 a year from now.
 

TangSoo

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To my understanding, it’s likely that PJD will outgrow 157 in short order, so he may get this year there while TK redshirts, then PJD redshirts the next season before returning at 165 after MM is out of eligibility… TK will return at 157, which is already two weight classes over his projected freshman weight.
I think this is sound logic (with the caveat that I don't subscribe to the theory that PJ beating Kasak is a given. Not implying that you implied as much).
 

Atrain83

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Seems like there’s a path to navigate 157-174. Curious what happens with the Mirasolas. If Connor can’t crack the lineup does he stick around with his brother. Might be part of the reason you’ve heard Cael is pushing so hard to get Ross.
 
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vhsalum1

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Seems like there’s a path to navigate 157-174. Curious what happens with the Mirasolas. If Connor can’t crack the lineup does he stick around with his brother. Might be part of the reason you’ve heard Cael is pushing so hard to get Ross.
What? To push them both out?

LOLOLOL. That's pretty diabolical if true man.
 

Hulk Smash

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I was under the impression it would be best for PJ to go this year with Kasak shirting and take next year off preparing for the Olympics and getting his weight set for that run at gold. And get Cassar in that room feeding Mirasola his diet.
 

AgSurfer

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What an exciting problem to have. More than 10 guys who are all good enough to AA and only 10 starting spots. Well that sure takes care of our need for 8 scoring wrestlers to win the NCAA tournament.

Next question: Can we top 180 points this coming season?
 
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Nitlion1986

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I doubt MM is going to go to 174 unless 165 becomes too tough of a cut for him to hold. Mitch's eyes should be on Olympic gold, so I'd think he'd want to maintain as close to 74 kgs as possible.
Last year at this time Mitch was as big as Levi, 180#, and I could see 165 becoming a bit of a PIA cut.
 

Cali_Nittany1

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How about:

2025/26
Duke 157
Kasak RS
Mes 165
Haines 174
Henckel RS
Welsh 184
Mirasola ?
Barr 197

26/27
Kasak 157
Duke RS
Mes 165
James RS
Henckel 174
Welsh 184
Mirasola ?
Barr 197

27/28
Duke Olympic RS
Kasak 157
James 165
Henckel 174
Welsh 184
Mirasola ORS
Barr 197

28/29
? 157
James 165/174
Duke 165/174
Henckel 184
Mirasola 197

(Unless Lemonpie's wish for Conner to move down and displace Welsh comes true, I don't see how he's going to fit without losing 2 years of eligibility. And does Asher ever crack the lineup?)
 

Still in State Colllege

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It is interesting to me that SVN is ranked so high here. I look at him as not being elite in any area other than pace. I willing to change my opinion with the right evidence, but I just don't think he is great in any of the three positions. His pace and conditioning coupled with his volume usually gets him to the win but what is "super power" beyond that?
 
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I am not a huge fan of wrestlers dropping a weight class. A severe cut for 90% of elite guys eventually proves counter productive and we have oodles of examples where going up delivers a better benefit.

That said the two Mirasolas present opportunities and challenges.

My own thinking is Conner while improving, (so too is Barr) I don't see that gap with Josh closing.

I think it was generally accepted two years ago that Conner was a better wrestler than Cole, yet Cole took that as an opportunity to move up and target the roster gap at heavy. Short of Ross or another elite portal-in, Cole is our heavy for a few years.

So what happens with Conner? He could go up and I think in time likely displace his brother at heavy, or could he go down to 184?

In concept he is thick enough physically at 197 to do it, but that's a big 13 lbs, and word has it that he walks around closer to 210 or more. I think this results in too big of a cut to be a top 4 guy with sufficient gas tank to take on Henkle let alone the rest of that 184 field, but that's just me.

In short I don't have a great answer for Conner despite him being the more talented brother.

A bit of a both good and bad problem to have. Both brothers love the program but there is no substitute for competition. If in time Conner decides to portal will Cole follow as a package deal? I am sure Cael is all over every possible scenario, and we know he is still courting Ross, strongly. Hmmm 🤔
 

Sullivan

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I am not a huge fan of wrestlers dropping a weight class. A severe cut for 90% of elite guys eventually proves counter productive and we have oodles of examples where going up delivers a better benefit.

That said the two Mirasolas present opportunities and challenges.

My own thinking is Conner while improving, (so too is Barr) I don't see that gap with Josh closing.

I think it was generally accepted two years ago that Conner was a better wrestler than Cole, yet Cole took that as an opportunity to move up and target the roster gap at heavy. Short of Ross or another elite portal-in, Cole is our heavy for a few years.

So what happens with Conner? He could go up and I think in time likely displace his brother at heavy, or could he go down to 184?

In concept he is thick enough physically at 197 to do it, but that's a big 13 lbs, and word has it that he walks around closer to 210 or more. I think this results in too big of a cut to be a top 4 guy with sufficient gas tank to take on Henkle let alone the rest of that 184 field, but that's just me.

In short I don't have a great answer for Conner despite him being the more talented brother.

A bit of a both good and bad problem to have. Both brothers love the program but there is no substitute for competition. If in time Conner decides to portal will Cole follow as a package deal? I am sure Cael is all over every possible scenario, and we know he is still courting Ross, strongly. Hmmm 🤔

I envision both of them staying at Penn State and sharing the weight.
 
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AgSurfer

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How about:

2025/26
Duke 157
Kasak RS
Mes 165
Haines 174
Henckel RS
Welsh 184
Mirasola ?
Barr 197

26/27
Kasak 157
Duke RS
Mes 165
James RS
Henckel 174
Welsh 184
Mirasola ?
Barr 197

27/28
Duke Olympic RS
Kasak 157
James 165
Henckel 174
Welsh 184
Mirasola ORS
Barr 197

28/29
? 157
James 165/174
Duke 165/174
Henckel 184
Mirasola 197

(Unless Lemonpie's wish for Conner to move down and displace Welsh comes true, I don't see how he's going to fit without losing 2 years of eligibility. And does Asher ever crack the lineup?)
Nice forecast, but keep in mind that any list you present that has less than 8 scoring wrestlers indicates a potential season where we might not win.
 

Dwayne_Johnson33

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According to Pyles on FRL this morning, many coaches are expecting the NCAA to adopt the proposed “5 in 5” rule where all student athletes would get 5 years to compete in 5 seasons eliminating redshirts and other eligibility waivers.
 
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Roar More

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According to Pyles on FRL this morning, many coaches are expecting the NCAA to adopt the proposed “5 in 5” rule where all student athletes would get 5 years to compete in 5 seasons eliminating redshirts and other eligibility waivers.
So, five years of Ono? Regardless, someone, please explain to me why Ono might only get one or two years while Steveson got six. Last I heard, the coaching staff was working on getting Ono four.
 
Feb 6, 2018
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So, five years of Ono? Regardless, someone, please explain to me why Ono might only get one or two years while Steveson got six. Last I heard, the coaching staff was working on getting Ono four.
The thought of Ono taking 4 years of Folk doesn't make complete sense. As one of the P4P best Freestylers in the world, I can get his enjoying a dose of Folk to round out his skills, learn the American way of training, kick some folk *** for a year or two, learn English, maybe even aspire for a degree; but in all likelihood, one would think he has to return to full time freestyle training back in Japan no more than two years from now. The legend that he will become in Freestyle is still in its early stages.
 
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JA1339

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I actually do think that the wrestlers don't know. My guess is that the coaches have at least 10 different lineup options and as usual they're going to let things play out, making sure they're ready for every scenario. Lots can happen between now and the season. The nice thing is that every one of those 10+ different lineups would result in an NCAA championship.
If there are 10 lineup options, I hope they pick the one that shuts out Iowa in the regular season dual, and then sets the record for most individual titles, and breaks the team scoring record again.
 
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Senior Worlds is not a factor -- it's in mid-September, 6 weeks before varsity practice starts.

If Duke shirts this year, then one of them sits in 2027 unless someone thinks Mesenbrink will lose his spot. Or, one of them bumps up 2 weights and knocks Henckel out of the lineup.
By his own admission, PJ hasn't focused on Folk in a long time. He is a transcendent recruit, where it is not entirely insane to think he has the potential to go undefeated during his collegiate career especially after a redshirt year.

I don't think it is absurd to see Kasak simply win a wrestleoff this fall. Especially, given PJ will remain freestyle focused for another couple of months. Beating the very best in the country in all three positions as a true freshman in November, after focusing on Freestyle isn't a given.

I seem to be in the minority to think redshirting PJ is the better of options this year regardless of where he and Kasak stack up in a competition for the slot.

A valid question for next year is can PJ still hold at 157? If so, then have the wrestleoff again, I think PJ beats Kasak, and Tyler then takes his redshirt. That sets up an easy peasy Kasak 157, PJ 165 in 2027/28.

If however, after a redshirt, PJ can't make 157 next year. Ok, I'll bite. After a year in the room, could he take out a then Hodge trophy 2x national champ MM? God forbid, I wouldn't bet against it. Never forget PJ is a unicorn, ok, so too is MM. Who's horn is longer? Get out the micrometer. I think I lean John Wayne.
 
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J.E.B

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Seems like there’s a path to navigate 157-174. Curious what happens with the Mirasolas. If Connor can’t crack the lineup does he stick around with his brother. Might be part of the reason you’ve heard Cael is pushing so hard to get Ross.
Ross???
 

J.E.B

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What about the HWT A.Taylor from Ohio? Made the U17 team but is ranked way low in the 2026 class. Going to AzSt with Merrill.