Wrestling would be gone except that it's popular in the BiG and PSU has excelled. SEC and Pac12 schools might drop wrestling but not the BiG.
Penn State would, almost certainly, be among the last universities to even consider dropping wrestling.
The issues w college wrestling center around how many programs there are - nationwide.
I think there are around 28 or so P4 schools that sponsor wrestling, along with maybe 4-5 non-P4 schools that have competitive wrestling programs (think Cornell and a few others).
That is not a lot, but it is enough.
As things evolve - especially with the newly modified NCAA guidelines - some of those schools are going to have to have real conversations wrt what they do with wrestling moving forward - think schools like Indiana, Maryland, Duke, Purdue, Oregon State, Stanford (which decided to drop - then re-instated, wrestling just a few years ago), Virginia, etc. Heck, even the Olympics gave serious consideration to dropping wrestling not so long ago.
Those schools are going to have to reckon with:
- what they are currently spending
- knowing that they will soon have to spend even more to maintain any level of competitiveness at the D1 level (and most aren't that competitive as is)
- know that funding required to keep their "money makers" competitive (Football and Men's Basketball) is going to rise dramatically
If enough of those schools decide the answer for wrestling is "No" (at least not at the current level), and you end up with 12 legit D1 competitive wrestling programs where does that leave the handful of schools (the PSU, Iowa, Oklahoma State, and others) that DO want to maintain high level wrestling? You've got to have competitors to play, Look at what happened to men's Gymnastics over the last couple decades - it is essentially a non-entity at the college level. and that happened without all of these new pressures.
College athletics is definitely entering a brave new world.
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