I’ll again preface this with I have no idea what I’m talking about… but aren’t we one of the few developed countries that does not have universal healthcare? So are we just that much smarter then everyone else or is there some reason why it can’t work here? Or does it not work other places?
There's no reason it can't work here, but it's no panacea.
- it doesn't address the biggest problem we have, which is that we have put a stranglehold on licensing doctors while our population has grown, gotten older, and also picked up a lot of lifestyle diseases that require more healthcare services. We already could reduce medicare costs by just lowering reimbursement rates, but we can't do that because doctors are essentially a cartel. Hospitals will complain that medicare is less than their cost of service, but that cost of service is largely doctors pay, which they can't negotiate down because there are too few of them. You can't basically make them a cartel and expect to be able to shove a lot of price controls on them. A similiar thing is happening on the private insurance side. They keep spending more and more money trying to clamp down on costs, but all they really do is increase the administrative burden and the headache of the hoops that doctor/hospital billing offices have to go through, because at the end of the day, the doctors have the negotiating power because they are a government protected cartel.
- it doesn't change the fact that our healthcare workers are going to get paid more than in other countries simply because their alternatives are higher paying than in other countries. So we're going to pay more than other countries to an extent just because we are a more affluent country.
- We have built our hospital infrastructure up assuming higher costs. I'm not sure we can go into all these hospitals with single person rooms and retrofit them to have larger, multiple occupancy rooms that can be managed with fewer nurses. Ignoring the physical constraints, we have also just built nice expensive buildings in affluent areas. Even when they don't increase operating costs, there's lots of debt associated with them often, and often times it's debt backed by municipalities or counties. There is going to be some pain in transitioning to a lower pay model.
- we pay too much for drugs because we are subsidizing drug development and letting other rich countries free ride off of us. But we have the last semi-market driven model for informing drug development investments/decisions. If we try to move to a monopsony and reduce drug prices, it's going to drastically change the calculus on drug development and there's going to be a lot less money put into it, which will presumably drastically reduce innovation. Some people think that's not a big deal; I think it would be a big deal but it's sort of inherently unknowable.
A model that I think would work is just gradually life the eligibility of medicaid each year. Medicaid would get shittier and shittier for people on it because again, it wouldn't change the number of service providers and more and more service providers would refuse to take it, but eventually you could just have it available for all and people would make a decision as to whether they would rather spend more money on health insurance but get to see a doctor timely or whether they want to take the cheap option and just know that they may have trouble getting care. Or alternatively just pay cash for routine care and know that medicaid is a backup option if they have a catastrophic issue.
I'd prefer us to move more towards allowing a market to actually work, but I don't think that's really in the cards, so this would at least keep a small private market in existence (I think).
All that to say, I don’t know if universal healthcare is good or bad… or if it could work for America or not. But what I do know is the current system sucks bad. I was fairly indifferent until recently. I’m one of the one the “system” should work for. I at least have a job and can afford insurance. Although I can’t say the insurance really contributed anything to my recent medical event, outside of their negotiated prices with the practice I used, which is another thing that is crap about the system.
And this is another part of the problem. We generally discourage health insurance that is actual insurance as opposed to a prepay plan. People generally think of insurance as "I have insurance, I should have to pay basically nothing in addition to premiums for healthcare". I don't think it would matter that much because of the limitation on the number of doctors, CONs, and restrictions on what services nurses or other non-MD, DO providers can perform, but that is another dysfunctional part of our system that puts upward pressure on prices.
I have been places where the deductible for health insurance was $200 and the max out of pocket for a family was $14,500, and this was for employees where $14,500 would be catastrophic for one year, and two years in a row would almost certainly mean bankruptcy. When I suggested that we should work on getting the max out of pocket under $10k (and ideally more like $7,500), even if it meant a deductible in the thousands, they basically said employees would riot (which I think they were correct). People would rather take that risk in exchange for low routine spending and then just deal with it if they are unlucky enough to have a major medical issue. Which I get; people like to take risks, but it does make the system just that much more 17ed up.