Out of 1000 police shootings a year, how many are “counterfactuals”?It improves your chances, not denying in the slightest. But there's too many obvious counterfactuals to just state it will prevent it in all cases no exceptions. Especially in the highly relevant context of kids running around in the dark, probably carrying phones and maybe wearing hoodies. Only an idiot can't account for that.
We should start a poll. I've never found her attractive but maybe I'm missing something.AOC? Yes, I'd think most folks would agree she's very conventionally attractive. It's ok if you don't.
Ok, I can see it now.She definitely deserves a unique point on the hot/crazy matrix.View attachment 358495
More than zero. Do you deny that?Out of 1000 police shootings a year, how many are “counterfactuals”?
We should start a poll. I've never found her attractive but maybe I'm missing something.
Glad you found your spectacles, Pawpaw.***Ok, I can see it now.
You "honestly" can't see why someone would disagree with the statement that if you did these 2 simple things then in no way would a cop ever shoot you? Seriously?Only an idiot would refute that.
I honestly can't believe anybody can think things like this. What is the common trait in all these police shootings? It is the alleged criminal getting mad and resisting, or doing something they shouldn't be doing. In every single one. Period.
And we blame the police. Geez. I'd rather have safe streets and just chalk some things up to FAFO. Play stupid games win stupid prizes.
I'll say again - brain damage.
Yeah, I pretty much can.You "honestly" can't see why someone would disagree with the statement that if you did these 2 simple things then in no way would a cop ever shoot you? Seriously?
So, you don't think I can provide multiple counterfactuals, cases where a citizen did none of those things nor anything objectionable at all.....yet got shot by a cop just the same?Yeah, I pretty much can.
I'll even add more. If I'm not involved in drug dealing, if I don't lose my mind and resist arrest, if I don't attack a cop, if I don't disrespect a cop, if I'm not eating bath salts/shooting meth/any and all variants thereof. OR....and perhaps the only one, I don't give the cop any reason to think I'm reaching for a gun (after a long conversation in which I haven't done any of the above things).
All of which are activities that are very, very easy to avoid. It's literally crazy to think otherwise. We've all seen the videos of all these police shootings.
The only logical conclusion is that the anti-police folks simply want chaos to reign in society.
Come on, man. No, it's not every single one. There are plenty of examples of police shooting unarmed citizens who were not resisting arrest. I'm not saying it happens a lot but the idea that every single police shooting involves someone resisting arrest or "doing something they shouldn't be doing" is just demonstrably false.What is the common trait in all these police shootings? It is the alleged criminal getting mad and resisting, or doing something they shouldn't be doing. In every single one. Period.
I mean, she's not MTG hot, but still...**Ok, I can see it now.
Hmmmm, so domestic violence, which is the main call where most cops get shot. So of course your gun is drawn.Come on, man. No, it's not every single one. There are plenty of examples of police shooting unarmed citizens who were not resisting arrest. I'm not saying it happens a lot but the idea that every single police shooting involves someone resisting arrest or "doing something they shouldn't be doing" is just demonstrably false.
This happened in Indianola just last month. Eleven year old kid doing exactly what police told him to do. Still got shot.
And I mean even if you don’t think she is attractive, it’s hard to imagine anyone would look at the other 3 girls and say that AOC is not the hot one.AOC? Yes, I'd think most folks would agree she's very conventionally attractive. It's ok if you don't.
This is a judgment-free zone, but you may have to fight Coach34 over her.I mean, she's not MTG hot, but still...**
Hey! He caught a clue! Miracles do happen!At abolute worse, it was an accident. When **** goes down, accidents happen.
So you've changed your argument from "it only happens when people resist arrest" to "accidents happen."Hmmmm, so domestic violence, which is the main culprit of most cops getting shot.
Then you have Greg Capers, who was a police veteran, who just 2 years ago, received a Policeman of the Year award.
The facts of that case have not come out. No telling how chaotic that situation was.
At abolute worse, it was an accident. When **** goes down, accidents happen.
I get that we don't all agree on things and that there can be reasonable differences of opinion. What I don't understand is why some people say, and apparently believe, just unbelievably stupid ****.The only logical conclusion is that the anti-police folks simply want chaos to reign in society.
conservative media rots your brain.I get that we don't all agree on things and that there can be reasonable differences of opinion. What I don't understand is why some people say, and apparently believe, just unbelievably stupid ****.
No, it's incredibly stupid to use those far and away exceptions (and even in those, there's **** going down) as evidence that you are right.So you've changed your argument from "it only happens when people resist arrest" to "accidents happen."
It doesn't actually sound like the situation was chaotic at all by the time police arrived. Kid calls the police on behalf of his mother. When they show up, she tells them the guy they called about had already left but that there were kids in the house. Police tell anyone in the house to come forward with their hands up. Kid does exactly that and still gets shot.
The fact that Capers was Policeman of the Year two years ago is not a mitigating factor. If anything, it's more damning. If an award-winning police officer finds it so easy to shoot an unarmed kid who is obeying instructions, how on earth can you possibly claim that all police shootings - "every single one. Period." - are justified because of the actions of the person who got shot?
I get that we don't all agree on things and that there can be reasonable differences of opinion. What I don't understand is why some people say, and apparently believe, just unbelievably stupid ****.
All we need is @ClintonInHelenWe should start a poll. I've never found her attractive but maybe I'm missing something.
The argument was SOLELY that it was 100%. That's the only reason I even chimed in, with others making the same point. Because, as you NOW admit, it's dumb to claim 100%. Just look at how many times you called me stupid or whatever before you caught on you clown.No, it's incredibly stupid to use those far and away exceptions (and even in those, there's **** going down) as evidence that you are right.
A 99.99% factual statement is that you can avoid getting shot by the police if you don't do dumb ****. You're literally talking about 0.01% as your defense. If that is me catching a clue, and some sort of victory for you and the squad, then I'm sorry, you're just dumb and your priorities are misplaced.
The point here is that police reform is not the real problem in this country.
Anything else is just you morons trying to beat me in an argument. You can have it. Your view point is still a byproduct of brain damage, and the fact that you're trying to 'get' me is evidence of it. As is your defense of criminals rather than cops.
Thank you for admitting that your initial comment of "every single one. Period." was wrong. I'm sure that wasn't easy for you.No, it's incredibly stupid to use those far and away exceptions (and even in those, there's **** going down) as evidence that you are right.
A 99.99% factual statement is that you can avoid getting shot by the police if you don't do dumb ****. You're literally talking about 0.01% as your defense. If that is me catching a clue, and some sort of victory for you and the squad, then I'm sorry, you're just dumb and your priorities are misplaced.
The point here is that police reform is not the real problem in this country.
Anything else is just you morons trying to beat me in an argument. You can have it. Your view point is still a byproduct of brain damage, and the fact that you're trying to 'get' me is evidence of it. As is your defense of criminals rather than cops.
The argument was SOLELY that it was 100%. That's the only reason I even chimed in, with others making the same point. Because, as you NOW admit, it's dumb to claim 100%. Just look at how many times you called me stupid or whatever before you caught on you clown.
No, it's really just stupid for you fixate on that. Nothing in this world can ever be absolute. But some things are dang near close, and this is one of them.Thank you for admitting that your initial comment of "every single one. Period." was wrong. I'm sure that wasn't easy for you.
I wasn't the one who made the absolute comment. Reread the thread if you need to.No, it's really just stupid for you fixate on that. Nothing in this world can ever be absolute. But some things are dang near close, and this is one of them.
Which is why the whole defense of criminals in FAFO territory is just plumb stupid. Simply not worth the effort. Go focus on something that actually makes society better. Anybody can tell you that after any city institutes the type police reform you squad guys reference, crime rises and the city becomes a worse place to live.
Yeah ok buddyI'm not defending criminals, I'm defending CITIZENS. It's called freedom you clown. But I would not be surprised that a fascist doesn't think freedom makes society better.
"What is the common trait in all these police shootings? It is the alleged criminal getting mad and resisting, or doing something they shouldn't be doing. In every single one. Period."Yeah ok buddy
Cite?Anybody can tell you that after any city institutes the type police reform you squad guys reference, crime rises and the city becomes a worse place to live.
A March 2019 study published in the peer-reviewed journal Criminology & Public Policy analyzed the effect of de-policing on homicide rates. In 53 large cities from 2010-2015, researchers found "no evidence of an effect of arrest rates on city homicide rates for any offense category for any year in this period."
"The results of our analysis reveal that declining rates of arrest did not produce the rise in homicide levels," the study authors wrote.
Experts told USA TODAY there are several plausible explanations for the recent spike in homicide rates.
"The pandemic created significant strain, stress and uncertainty" Novak said.
During the coronavirus pandemic, more Americans purchased guns, which Kubrin said can escalate a non-lethal crime to a homicide.
In 2022, for the third consecutive year, there was a triple-digit homicide total in Fort Worth. With 100 criminal killing victims, the number of homicides in the city last year decreased by 15% from 2021, when there was a 27-year record high total, 118, and decreased by 13% from 2020, when 115 people were slain in Fort Worth. Still, the triple-digit homicide total is a marker that violent crime remains an imposing problem in the city. Until 2020, there had not in Fort Worth been a homicide toll of 100 or more in a year since 1995,
You seriously have to be a moron to believe what you just typed. Fort Worth is an extremely safe and clean city.Cite?
Because
and the largest GOP run city is Ft Worth.
Which had this issue....
It's almost like the pandemic and more guns caused a rise in murder everywhere....
But that doesn't fit in your " democrats are bad because lying fox news told me so" brain.
I have not been to Ft Worth in a while and I have not felt "unsafe" walking in any city in a long time ( last time i felt unsafe it was 3 am in the east village on a side street)You seriously have to be a moron to believe what you just typed. Fort Worth is an extremely safe and clean city.
You made the "In every single one. Period." comment and then doubled down on it but somehow it's stupid for us to point that out to you? Ok. Sure. Makes total sense.No, it's really just stupid for you fixate on that. Nothing in this world can ever be absolute. But some things are dang near close, and this is one of them.
Which is why the whole defense of criminals in FAFO territory is just plumb stupid. Simply not worth the effort. Go focus on something that actually makes society better. Anybody can tell you that after any city institutes the type police reform you squad guys reference, crime rises and the city becomes a worse place to live.
And here's the thing. If it's so dang rare then why the resistance to reforms? Why is it so hard to set down some simple guidelines on use of force with repercussions if not followed? I have to follow some complicated rules for my taxes, I have to follow complicated rules to drive a car, why the hell can't a professional cop follow some simple rules on when it's ok to draw a gun and shoot someone? What is the motivating factor to make yourself look like a total moron to stand against reforms designed to reduce the unjustified shootings of (in part) black americans......oh wait. Makes sense when you think of it that way. Or maybe you're just dumb. But it has to he one or the other. Period.No, it's really just stupid for you fixate on that. Nothing in this world can ever be absolute. But some things are dang near close, and this is one of them.
Which is why the whole defense of criminals in FAFO territory is just plumb stupid. Simply not worth the effort. Go focus on something that actually makes society better. Anybody can tell you that after any city institutes the type police reform you squad guys reference, crime rises and the city becomes a worse place to live.
I don't need to show you proof. We all see it, in all the videos. We all know the truth, the ones of us without brain damage, anyway.You made the "In every single one. Period." comment and then doubled down on it but somehow it's stupid for us to point that out to you? Ok. Sure. Makes total sense.
And, again, no one is defending criminals. You keep using that word for people who haven't actually been convicted of a crime. We just believe in the idea of due process. You don't seem to. Why do you hate the Constitutionally protected rights of U.S. citizens?
If you're so convinced that the idea that police only shoot unarmed citizens when they're resisting arrest is "dang near close" to absolute, I'm assuming you can back that up. If you're sure that police reforms lead to an increase in crime, I'm assuming you can back that up. Some study or report? Any amount of data that proves you're correct and that you're not just parroting radical right wing talking points that have no basis in fact? You've made these claims - and even went so far as to say "Anybody can tell you" - so you should be able to provide legitimate supporting evidence.
A March 2019 study published in the peer-reviewed journal Criminology & Public Policy analyzed the effect of de-policing on homicide rates. In 53 large cities from 2010-2015, researchers found "no evidence of an effect of arrest rates on city homicide rates for any offense category for any year in this period."
"The results of our analysis reveal that declining rates of arrest did not produce the rise in homicide levels," the study authors wrote.
Experts told USA TODAY there are several plausible explanations for the recent spike in homicide rates.
"The pandemic created significant strain, stress and uncertainty" Novak said.
During the coronavirus pandemic, more Americans purchased guns, which Kubrin said can escalate a non-lethal crime to a homicide.
Because they aren't needed? We don't need expensive, additional rules for the exception to the rule.And here's the thing. If it's so dang rare then why the resistance to reforms? Why is it so hard to set down some simple guidelines on use of force with repercussions if not followed? I have to follow some complicated rules for my taxes, I have to follow complicated rules to drive a car, why the hell can't a professional cop follow some simple rules on when it's ok to draw a gun and shoot someone? What is the motivating factor to make yourself look like a total moron to stand against reforms designed to reduce the unjustified shootings of (in part) black americans......oh wait. Makes sense when you think of it that way. Or maybe you're just dumb. But it has to he one or the other. Period.
So, the answer is no. You have no proof of anything, then. You're an unserious person who is just running off at the mouth because that is easier for you than dealing in actual fact and supporting evidence. That's not terribly surprising. And, as usual, when you can't make a coherent argument, you just resort to exceptionally lazy ad hominem retorts.I don't need to show you proof. We all see it, in all the videos. We all know the truth, the ones of us without brain damage, anyway.
But that doesn't fit in your " democrats are bad because lying fox news told me so" brain.
It is peer reviewed. I don't pretend to be a social science expert, so I trust those that do published peer reviewed research.I'm pretty skeptical of a study that acknowledges the impact of proactive policing on violent crime but claims to find that arrest rates don't matter. I suspect there is maybe a confounding factor that pushes arrest rates up in response to higher crime, which also results in higher rates of homicide. WOuld like to see an ungated version to see their methodology and what they found.
This doesn't address the referenced study, but is a common sense look at the Ferguson effect that the study seemingly admits is real.
ETA: This study seems to disagree with the 2019 study you cited, at least based on the abstract of the 2019 study.
Public Scrutiny, Police Behavior, and Crime Consequences: Evidence from High-Profile Police Killings
After a spate of protests touched off by high-profile incidents of police use of force, there has been a renewed focus on whether public scrutiny shapes policinpapers.ssrn.com
Also, this doesn't look at exactly the same thing. But it does find that police arrests decreased as murders went up.
The results of our analysis reveal that declining rates of arrest did not produce the rise in homicide levels.... Lack of trust and confidence in the police militates against crime prevention as a co-production of police and community and may promote violence as a form of self-help.