I'm getting sick of everyone blaming the ref in the Memphis game for the loss. Yes, the call sucked, but if it doesn't get called, it still likely they win. Memphis still gets the ball and is up by 4 if the call gets made correctly. Just 2 drives before they went 98 yards for a TD in 5 minutes. It's not like they weren't capable of doing it.
Memphis was dominating the game from the middle of the 2nd quarter until the ******** punt return. Our offense had 7 drives for a grand total of 96 yards and zero points from 8:48 in the 2nd until 5:32 in the 4th. Falling way behind got the offense in gear.
Who knows how the game turns out, but before we even punted the ball, Memphis had an 83.6% chance of winning the game. Memphis would have had the ball, a lead, and our offense was in a coma. Does Memphis go 3 and out after the punt or do they run the ball and drain the clock until the game is over? Who 17ing knows. But odds are, they still win the game. It was a **** call, but it costing us the game is ignorant/wishful thinking because the final 5 minutes play out completely differently.
This is the win probability right BEFORE the punt.
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Now the Arkansas defensive holding call, absolutely cost us the game. We had the lead and it should have been a turnover on downs. We had a 70.9% chance of winning before the ball was snapped on that ****** 4th down call. We take knees and run out the clock if the call is not made.
This is the win probability before the 4th down phantom defensive holding.
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Yes the refs suck. But both games were lost because we had massive chunks of the game where our offense couldn't score and the defense couldn't hold the opponent down. Growing pains.