A lot of good pointsI would be dishonest if I said I have a clue as to what they are doing.
1- The big story to start the off-season is Bohm. It’s obvious something is amiss here given you’d think a cheaper guy under control is exactly what they want. The current group drafted Miller and not Bohm. Often there is a commitment to the guy YOU draft so the question then becomes what is the plan if you do move on from Bohm. I don’t get Bregman since you then block Miller with Bregman and Bregman is never taking a short term deal. Arenado makes more sense considering he has three years left I believe. I think Miller would be the guy for 2027 so Arenado kind of fits as a 2 year hold and you worry about 2027 when you get there and how you play out that year.
2- You keep hearing Crochet but he would cost a fortune. You’d have a great staff but the post season is more bullpen than starters. I think any deal starts with Painter and even if you are good with dealing Painter, it seems like a regular season driven move more than a playoff move. They obviously watched Painter carefully in AZ. If you still view him as a top of the rotation guy, I’m not dealing him.
3- Speaking of the pen, it seems like both Estevez and Hoffman are going elsewhere. Other options will be pricey so your pen doesn’t get better losing both guys. Sure, you can go into deep water with Tanner Scott. Even if you sign Scott, you are still a reliever down and I’m not sure your pen is better in 2025 versus 2024.
4- Chatter about the lineup and maybe making changes but two guys are the key. They need to get Stott back on track and they need to have a change in approach by Turner. Turner is tricky given that he needs to be shorter and more gap to gap. Most of these guys love the fastball but Stott was consistently beaten to the spot on fastballs. What happens next year will be driven by Stott and Turner in my opinion.
It looks a bit like a scramble right now and this is the look of a team that is trying to find some extra magic. I’m concerned.
There is a real problem with the narrative that has formed around Bohm that he has work ethic issues or immaturity or whatever term you wish to describe his mental makeup or approach. You should have a player who is highly desired but as it stands the Phillies might not receive adequate return partly due to the narrative. If this is a net Bohm for Bellinger, the Phillies have not improved. Whatever offensive plus that might generate, you’ve lost based on salary increase and how that might squeeze your ability in other moves.A lot of good points
One thing I think is crucial is getting Schwarbs out of the leadoff spot.
I know what the analytics say but I personally want Stott to to leadoff. I know he needs to get back to the two years ago Stottie but that’s my opinion and I’m sticking to it ⚾️
AgreeThere is a real problem with the narrative that has formed around Bohm that he has work ethic issues or immaturity or whatever term you wish to describe his mental makeup or approach. You should have a player who is highly desired but as it stands the Phillies might not receive adequate return partly due to the narrative. If this is a net Bohm for Bellinger, the Phillies have not improved. Whatever offensive plus that might generate, you’ve lost based on salary increase and how that might squeeze your ability in other moves.
This narrative will exist any time a team makes available a home grown, 28 year old, top-3 drafted player, cost controlled at a premium position.There is a real problem with the narrative that has formed around Bohm that he has work ethic issues or immaturity or whatever term you wish to describe his mental makeup or approach. You should have a player who is highly desired but as it stands the Phillies might not receive adequate return partly due to the narrative. If this is a net Bohm for Bellinger, the Phillies have not improved. Whatever offensive plus that might generate, you’ve lost based on salary increase and how that might squeeze your ability in other moves.
I would agree but the move by Thomson to sit Bohm in a huge playoff game against the Mets opened the floodgates to all this and showed the Phillies hand. There is no way you can rationalize that move and they will pay dearly for that decision. There have been grumblings about Bohm percolating for some time and this intel was likely known outside the organization as well. I would agree, this is the type of contract and player that should be critical to a team that has a number of high salary players.This narrative will exist any time a team makes available a home grown, 28 year old, top-3 drafted player, cost controlled at a premium position.
It had the obvious look of the Phillies giving up on Bohm. They can say what they want in GM convos, but it’s pretty obvious they don’t like Bohm long term.
I have only seen Miller a handful of times but my feel is that he needs 2025 and most of 2026 for development. You should not be counting on this kid in the grand scheme of things given the salary and team you’ve put together. So I would let him develop naturally. If he’s ready, fine, but I wouldn’t rush him just because you don’t have another option.Agree
I also know it’s untraditional, but I don’t think they should shy away from the young kid Miller.
Some kids are just ready at younger ages.
And kind of what you were saying - why replace equal for equal at a higher salary - that’s a net loss overall.
Plus, and I know I’ve been a Phils fan for a looonnnggg time, but this organization has a long history of waiting too long on the kids.
I think Bregmqn will play out similar to Soto. Lots of talk and speculation, but when it’s time to talk turkey, the Phillies won’t engage in a meaningful way.I have only seen Miller a handful of times but my feel is that he needs 2025 and most of 2026 for development. You should not be counting on this kid in the grand scheme of things given the salary and team you’ve put together. So I would let him develop naturally. If he’s ready, fine, but I wouldn’t rush him just because you don’t have another option.
I don’t think the Phillies pursue Bregman as initially thought so I think Miller is the long term play. The one thing that caught my attention seeing Miller is that he’s a big boy. Does that translate to 3b and staying there? To me, 3rd is reaction and instinct, does he have that at a MLB level? To me, I’d like to see his step left too, that is what I always look at.
I assume both Miller and Crawford are much more visible in Clearwater this spring. I am excited to see both.
Agree with your pointsI have only seen Miller a handful of times but my feel is that he needs 2025 and most of 2026 for development. You should not be counting on this kid in the grand scheme of things given the salary and team you’ve put together. So I would let him develop naturally. If he’s ready, fine, but I wouldn’t rush him just because you don’t have another option.
I don’t think the Phillies pursue Bregman as initially thought so I think Miller is the long term play. The one thing that caught my attention seeing Miller is that he’s a big boy. Does that translate to 3b and staying there? To me, 3rd is reaction and instinct, does he have that at a MLB level? To me, I’d like to see his step left too, that is what I always look at.
I assume both Miller and Crawford are much more visible in Clearwater this spring. I am excited to see both.
He backed himself into this corner with this highly imperfect and expensive roster. He can’t simply spend more money to fix this.I fear Dave D is going to crap the bed this winter
This is the cycle, build it up, take your best shot, scramble to try to improve to get better if you didn’t get it done, and then blow it up. The decision every GM must make is whether spending future assets to possibly improve will get you over the hump or just kill you going forward.He backed himself into this corner with this highly imperfect and expensive roster. He can’t simply spend more money to fix this.
I fear he’s run his course and will step aside after a so-so 2025 season.
Better to have maxed out your chance than to have never tried at all.This is the cycle, build it up, take your best shot, scramble to try to improve to get better if you didn’t get it done, and then blow it up. The decision every GM must make is whether spending future assets to possibly improve will get you over the hump or just kill you going forward.
At some point (where they are now), it’s not just spending money. You’ve done that. The GM has to be honest and assess who is going to get better that will push you further forward. The players who would get better and push you over the hump were Stott and Bohm. One stepped back, the other might get traded. Who is going to get better to make the difference? Your pen as it stands now is MUCH weaker. You can lean on your starters but what can you expect from Ranger, Walker, and Painter. The way you stay in there is to have Ranger have a big year and Painter show out.
It’s tough but the window will start to close. The thing I fear is that this is classic Dombrowski. Max out your chance and then let someone else pick up the scorched earth.
Agree he backed himself into a corner - pretty sure they thought this team would have a Ring already so now they are in “Now What?” ModeHe backed himself into this corner with this highly imperfect and expensive roster. He can’t simply spend more money to fix this.
I fear he’s run his course and will step aside after a so-so 2025 season.
Agree on Dombrowski - but sometimes they have rings by then - this team doesn’t so they are in a very tough spotThis is the cycle, build it up, take your best shot, scramble to try to improve to get better if you didn’t get it done, and then blow it up. The decision every GM must make is whether spending future assets to possibly improve will get you over the hump or just kill you going forward.
At some point (where they are now), it’s not just spending money. You’ve done that. The GM has to be honest and assess who is going to get better that will push you further forward. The players who would get better and push you over the hump were Stott and Bohm. One stepped back, the other might get traded. Who is going to get better to make the difference? Your pen as it stands now is MUCH weaker. You can lean on your starters but what can you expect from Ranger, Walker, and Painter. The way you stay in there is to have Ranger have a big year and Painter show out.
It’s tough but the window will start to close. The thing I fear is that this is classic Dombrowski. Max out your chance and then let someone else pick up the scorched earth.
He backed himself into this corner with this highly imperfect and expensive roster. He can’t simply spend more money to fix this.
I fear he’s run his course and will step aside after a so-so 2025 ea
Take it from a die hard Red Sox fan… I have seen this movie before. You are spot on… the real issue is it takes 4-5 years to recoverHe backed himself into this corner with this highly imperfect and expensive roster. He can’t simply spend more money to fix this.
I fear he’s run his course and will step aside after a so-so 2025 season.